Match Info

Date: 2 December 2020, Wednesday


	Manchester United		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.6	2.62
	2.55	3.5	2.7
	2.55	3.65	2.75
	2.55	3.6	2.65
	2.59	3.73	2.72
	2.55	3.5	2.7
	2.67	3.72	2.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.9)	3.61 ↑ (3.54)	2.7 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
37.5%

Draw
26.7%

Paris Saint-Germain
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

27.3%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

19.4%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paris Saint-Germain, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.1%	18.3%	43.7%

Manchester United - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Users Predictions: 126 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 48 - 38.1%). PSG will win (votes: 55 - 43.7%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 18.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 35% – 52.4%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Man Utd has a good chance of round of 16 (85%), has a chance of qtrs (47%), has a chance of semis (21%), has a small chance of final (9%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

PSG has a good chance of round of 16 (62%), has a chance of qtrs (34%), has a chance of semis (17%), has a small chance of final (8%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Man Utd is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches PSG is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

PSG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Man Utd won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Man Utd won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
English Premier League
29.11.20	Southampton - Manchester United	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.11.20	Manchester United - İstanbul Başakşehir	4:1 ✺
English Premier League
21.11.20	Manchester United - West Bromwich Albion	1:0 ✺
07.11.20	Everton - Manchester United	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.20	İstanbul Başakşehir - Manchester United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWL
- Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1
28.11.20	Paris Saint-Germain - Bordeaux	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.11.20	Paris Saint-Germain - RB Leipzig	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
20.11.20	Monaco - Paris Saint-Germain	3:2 ✺
07.11.20	Paris Saint-Germain - Rennes	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.20	RB Leipzig - Paris Saint-Germain	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
20.10.20	Paris Saint-Germain - Manchester United	1:2
06.03.19	Paris Saint-Germain - Manchester United	1:3
12.02.19	Manchester United - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2
International Champions Cup
29.07.15	Manchester United - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2

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