Match Info

League One - Round 26

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: One Call Stadium (Mansfield)


	Mansfield Town		Reading

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.2
	2.55	3.2	2.7
	2.18	3.25	3.25
	2.28	3.41	3.35
	2.19	3.29	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.2
	2.19	3.3	3.26	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.4)	3.28 ↑ (3.25)	3.13 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mansfield Town
41.4%

Draw
28.7%

Reading
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

27.9%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

28.1%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Mansfield Town - Reading Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Reading will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Reading (2.32) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roberts L. (G) 4. Hewitt E. 23. Oshilaja A. 20. Blake-Tracy F. 3. McLaughlin S. 25. Reed L. (C) 40. Abbott G. 7. Akins L. 13. Russell J. 11. Evans W. 19. Adeboyejo V.	1. Pereira J. (G) 24. Nyambe R. 12. Burns F. 15. O'Connor P. 16. Ward B. 10. Wing L. (C) 6. Fraser L. 29. Doyle K. 8. Savage C. 21. Williams R. 9. Ehibhatiomhan K.
Substitutes
9. Bowery J. 28. Gardner J. 24. Hendry R. 44. Irow O. 8. Lewis A. 22. Moriah-Welsh N. 18. Oates R.	2. Abrefa K. 27. Keane W. 32. Lane P. 57. Patton S. 41. Rhone H. (G) 30. Ritchie M. 17. Yiadom A.
Coaches
Clough N.	Richardson L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Burns F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Fraser L. ↓, Lane P. ↑,
66', Doyle K. ↓, Ritchie M. ↑,
67', Adeboyejo V. ↓, Oates R. ↑,
67', Russell J. ↓, Hendry R. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Reed L. ⚽, Evans W. (A),
74', Nyambe R. ↓, Keane W. ↑,
74', Ehibhatiomhan K. ↓, Patton S. ↑,
76', Hewitt E. ↓, Bowery J. ↑,
80', McLaughlin S. ↓, Irow O. ↑,
80', Abbott G. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
84', Williams R. ↓, Yiadom A. ↑,
90+3', Wing L. 🟨,

Preview

Postponed due to FA Cup.

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 9)

Mansfield is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Reading is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Reading may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Mansfield: Hendry R. (Inactive) Knoyle K. (Inactive) Maris G. (Inactive) Roberts T. (Inactive)

There will not play in Reading: Elliott B. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Mansfield: Bowery J. (Inactive) Gardner J. (Inactive) Hewitt E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Reading: Lane P. (Inactive) Williams D. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Mansfield won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.

Outrights of English League One for now

Reading: 6.37% Mansfield: 1.74%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Reading	8	3	3	2	17:10	7	12
17	Mansfield	7	2	2	3	10:13	-3	8

Last Results with these Odds

Mansfield Town - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.82%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mansfield Town
English FA Cup
07.03.26	Mansfield Town - Arsenal	1:2 ✺
English League One
03.03.26	Rotherham United - Mansfield Town	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Mansfield Town - AFC Wimbledon	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Mansfield Town - Lincoln City	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Blackpool - Mansfield Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTTLL
- Reading
English League One
07.03.26	Luton Town - Reading	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	Reading - Bradford City	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Port Vale - Reading	1:1 ✺
17.02.26	Reading - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Reading - Wycombe Wanderers	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
04.10.25	Reading - Mansfield Town	1:1
21.04.25	Mansfield Town - Reading	1:5
29.12.24	Reading - Mansfield Town	2:1

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