Match Info

League One - Round 29

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Home Park (Plymouth)

Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Plymouth Argyle		Mansfield Town

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.7	3.7	Watch
	1.92	3.7	3.55	Watch
	1.94	3.79	3.82
	1.89	3.66	3.82	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.6
	1.91	3.68	3.67	Watch
	1.9	3.66	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.25)	3.67 ↑ (3.29)	3.7 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Argyle
49.3%

Draw
25.5%

Mansfield Town
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

27.9%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

28.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plymouth Argyle's performance.

Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mansfield Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plymouth Argyle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mansfield Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	26.7%	6.7%

Plymouth Argyle - Mansfield Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Mansfield will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Mansfield (1.97) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Mansfield (2.33) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Plymouth (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Plymouth Argyle will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 5 - 50%). Mansfield (votes: 5 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 8. Edwards J. (C) 2. Ross M. 15. Mitchell A. 22. Galloway B. 28. Curtis R. 19. Boateng M. 4. Wiredu B. 29. Sorinola M. 17. Watts C. 27. Pepple A.	1. Roberts L. (G) 23. Oshilaja A. 5. Sweeney R. (C) 6. Cargill B. 7. Akins L. 8. Lewis A. 24. Hendry R. 20. Blake-Tracy F. 27. Bolton L. 44. Irow O. 18. Oates R.
Substitutes
10. Amaechi X. 13. Baker Z. (G) 3. MacKenzie J. 18. Oseni O. 7. Paterson J. 24. Roberts C. 6. Szucs K.	19. Adeboyejo V. 17. Dickov M. 4. Hewitt E. 2. Knoyle K. 22. Moriah-Welsh N. 13. Russell J. 34. Taylor O.
Coaches
Cleverley T.	Clough N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', Edwards J. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Pepple A. ⚽, Wiredu B. (A),
41', 1 - 1, Sweeney R. ⚽, Hendry R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bolton L. ↓, Hewitt E. ↑,
46', Lewis A. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
51', Akins L. ↓, Adeboyejo V. ↑,
59', Sorinola M. 🟨,
62', Sorinola M. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
73', Watts C. ↓, Oseni O. ↑,
74', Hendry R. ↓, Moriah-Welsh N. ↑,
81', Oates R. ↓, Knoyle K. ↑,
86', Oshilaja A. 🟨,
90+1', Blake-Tracy F. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 4.

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

Mansfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Plymouth is the team to beat.

There will not play in Plymouth: Ibrahim B. (Inactive) MacKenzie J. (Shin Injury) Pleguezuelo J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Mansfield: Bowery J. (Inactive) Knoyle K. (Inactive) Maris G. (Inactive) Reed L. (Red Card) Roberts T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Plymouth: Dale O. (Inactive) Oseni O. (Injury)

There are questionable in Mansfield: Gardner J. (Inactive)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).

Outrights of English League One for now

Plymouth: 10.74% Mansfield: 1.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Plymouth	10	6	1	3	18:12	6	19
14	Mansfield	8	3	2	3	12:14	-2	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Argyle
English League One
24.01.26	Plymouth Argyle - Luton Town	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Peterborough United - Plymouth Argyle	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
13.01.26	Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle	3:4 ✺
English League One
04.01.26	Plymouth Argyle - Burton Albion	3:0 ✺
01.01.26	Stevenage Borough - Plymouth Argyle	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WWWWT
- Mansfield Town
English League One
24.01.26	Stevenage Borough - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Mansfield Town - Port Vale	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.26	Sheffield United - Mansfield Town	3:4 ✺
English League One
01.01.26	Mansfield Town - Bradford City	3:0 ✺
29.12.25	Bolton Wanderers - Mansfield Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.5 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
28.10.25	Mansfield Town - Plymouth Argyle	2:0
English League Two
18.01.20	Plymouth Argyle - Mansfield Town	3:1
28.09.19	Mansfield Town - Plymouth Argyle	0:1
11.03.17	Mansfield Town - Plymouth Argyle	0:2
English FA Cup
05.11.16	Mansfield Town - Plymouth Argyle	1:2
English League Two
20.08.16	Plymouth Argyle - Mansfield Town	2:0
13.02.16	Plymouth Argyle - Mansfield Town	3:0

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