The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stevenage Borough 42.1%
Draw 29.9%
Mansfield Town 28%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.3%
29.3%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.2%
29.9%
25.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
16.7%
58.3%
Stevenage Borough - Mansfield Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Mansfield will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mansfield Town will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marschall F. (G) 17. Pattenden J. 15. Goode C. 5. Piergianni C. (C) 16. Freestone L. 8. Phillips D. 18. White H. 11. Roberts J. 23. Thompson L. 30. Lubala B. 19. Reid J.
1. Roberts L. (G) 7. Akins L. 23. Oshilaja A. 5. Sweeney R. (C) 6. Cargill B. 25. Reed L. 8. Lewis A. 18. Oates R. 13. Russell J. 44. Irow O. 11. Evans W.
Substitutes
13. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 20. Campbell C. 7. Cornick H. 33. Doherty R. 10. Kemp D. 44. Patterson P. 6. Sweeney D.
19. Adeboyejo V. 20. Blake-Tracy F. 27. Bolton L. 14. Dwyer D. 24. Hendry R. 4. Hewitt E. 22. Moriah-Welsh N.
Coaches
Revell A.
Clough N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Phillips D. 🟨,
23', Roberts J. 🟨,
42', Goode C. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Thompson L. ↓, Kemp D. ↑,
49', Lubala B. 🟨,
51', Sweeney R. 🟨,
58', Russell J. ↓, Hendry R. ↑,
68', Irow O. ↓, Bolton L. ↑,
70', Roberts J. ↓, Patterson P. ↑,
76', Reid J. ↓, Cornick H. ↑,
76', Lubala B. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Akins L. (Penalty Awarded),
83', Evans W. ↓, Adeboyejo V. ↑,
83', Lewis A. ↓, Hewitt E. ↑,
83', Oates R. ↓, Blake-Tracy F. ↑,
90+1', Hendry R. 🟨,
90+2', Sweeney D. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 1, Campbell C. ⚽,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 10)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 1.
Recent form of Stevenage has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Mansfield is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Mansfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Stevenage could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Stevenage: James-Wildin L.
(Inactive)
Simpson T.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Mansfield: Knoyle K.
(Inactive)
Maris G.
(Inactive)
Roberts T.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Mansfield: Bowery J.
(Inactive)
Gardner J.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 0.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.4:1.3).
Watch
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Marschall F. (G) 
Phillips D. 
Thompson L. 
Lubala B. 
Reid J. 
Akins L. 
Sweeney R. (C) 
Russell J. 
Patterson P. 
Adeboyejo V. 
Dwyer D. 
Moriah-Welsh N. 
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