Match Info

Date: 5 October 2021, Tuesday


	Mansfield Town		Sheffield Wednesday

	1	X	2
	5	3.75	1.55
	4.25	3.9	1.64
	4.8	3.9	1.57
	4.85	4.19	1.58
	3.8	3.4	1.88
	4.95	4.05	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.61 ↑ (2.63)	3.87 ↑ (3.74)	1.63 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mansfield Town
19.9%

Draw
23.8%

Sheffield Wednesday
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

24.5%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

17.9%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mansfield Town's form might have worsened.

Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sheffield Wednesday's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mansfield Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	13.3%	76.7%

Mansfield Town - Sheffield Wednesday Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 3 - 10%). Sheff Wed will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sheff Wed: 61.6% – 91.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Mansfield is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sheff Wed is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sheff Wed could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sheff Wed will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Mansfield won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mansfield Town
English League Two
02.10.21	Mansfield Town - Barrow	0:1 ✺
25.09.21	Leyton Orient - Mansfield Town	0:0 ✺
18.09.21	Mansfield Town - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
11.09.21	Walsall - Mansfield Town	3:1 ✺
04.09.21	Mansfield Town - Harrogate Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTLL
- Sheffield Wednesday
English League One
02.10.21	Sheffield Wednesday - Oxford United	1:2 ✺
28.09.21	Wigan Athletic - Sheffield Wednesday	1:2 ✺
25.09.21	Ipswich Town - Sheffield Wednesday	1:1 ✺
18.09.21	Sheffield Wednesday - Shrewsbury Town	1:1 ✺
11.09.21	Plymouth Argyle - Sheffield Wednesday	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.07.18	Mansfield Town - Sheffield Wednesday	2:1
15.07.17	Mansfield Town - Sheffield Wednesday	2:3
English League Cup
11.08.15	Sheffield Wednesday - Mansfield Town	4:1

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