Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 41

Date: 10 April 2023, Monday

Location: One Call Stadium (Mansfield)

Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)


	Mansfield Town		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	6
	1.6	3.9	5.25
	1.6	4	5
	1.63	4.06	5.71
	1.62	3.7	5.5
	1.62	3.94	5.4	Watch
	1.58	3.7	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.58)	3.86 ↑ (3.7)	5.47 ↓ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mansfield Town
58.4%

Draw
24.3%

Rochdale
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

25.2%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

24.6%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Mansfield Town - Rochdale Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Rochdale will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

Mansfield has the most likely position - 7 (17.33%), project points - 76, currently - 64, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (63%), a chance of promoted (37%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Rochdale has the most likely position - 24 (81.81%), project points - 38, currently - 32, a good chance of relegated (95%), not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has small quality 11, importance 43, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 3.

Mansfield is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Rochdale is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Mansfield is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Mansfield won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mansfield Town
English League Two
07.04.23	Swindon Town - Mansfield Town	2:4 ✺
01.04.23	Mansfield Town - Crawley Town	4:1 ✺
25.03.23	Mansfield Town - Sutton United	0:0 ✺
22.03.23	Mansfield Town - Grimsby Town	0:0 ✺
18.03.23	Stockport County - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTTT
- Rochdale AFC
English League Two
07.04.23	Rochdale - Walsall	4:2 ✺
01.04.23	AFC Wimbledon - Rochdale	0:1 ✺
25.03.23	Crawley Town - Rochdale	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	Rochdale - Swindon Town	4:4 ✺
11.03.23	Grimsby Town - Rochdale	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
12.11.22	Rochdale - Mansfield Town	0:1
22.03.22	Rochdale - Mansfield Town	0:1
18.09.21	Mansfield Town - Rochdale	1:1
English League Cup
08.08.17	Mansfield Town - Rochdale	0:1
English League Two
12.04.14	Mansfield Town - Rochdale	3:0
26.12.13	Rochdale - Mansfield Town	3:0

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