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Current Win Probability
Plymouth Argyle 23.4%
Draw 27%
Sheffield Wednesday 49.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.3%
27.4%
46.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.3%
26.4%
48.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
10%
10%
Plymouth Argyle - Sheffield Wednesday Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Sheff Wed will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 55.2% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Hazard C. (G) 40. Talovierov M. 25. Katic N. (C) 5. Pleguezuelo J. 29. Sorinola M. 19. Boateng M. 18. Gyabi D. 3. Ogbeta N. 11. Wright C. 2. Mumba B. 15. Bundu M.
1. Beadle J. (G) 6. Iorfa D. 20. Ihiekwe M. 3. Lowe M. 28. Hatsuse R. 44. Charles S. 8. Ingelsson S. 13. Paterson C. 10. Bannan B. (C) 41. Gassama D. 11. Windass J.
Substitutes
28. Al Hajj R. 8. Edwards J. 31. Grimshaw D. (G) 9. Hardie R. 4. Houghton J. 14. Obafemi M. 44. Palsson V. 17. Puchacz T. 6. Szucs K.
4. Chalobah N. 47. Charles P. (G) 16. Cissoko I. 18. Johnson M. 19. Kobacki O. 9. Lowe J. 2. Palmer L. 24. Smith M. 14. Valentin P.
Coaches
Muslic M.
Rohl D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Ogbeta N. (Own goal),
24', Windass J. 🟨,
29', Lowe M. 🟨,
31', Beadle J. 🟨,
32', Bannan B. 🟨,
38', Pleguezuelo J. 🟨,
41', 0 - 2, Paterson C. ⚽, Ingelsson S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ingelsson S. ↓, Valentin P. ↑,
46', Wright C. ↓, Hardie R. ↑,
46', Pleguezuelo J. ↓, Palsson V. ↑,
46', Ogbeta N. ↓, Puchacz T. ↑,
51', Katic N. 🟨,
61', Bundu M. ↓, Obafemi M. ↑,
63', Paterson C. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
66', Bannan B. ↓, Chalobah N. ↑,
68', 0 - 3, Gassama D. ⚽, Windass J. (A),
70', Windass J. ↓, Kobacki O. ↑,
70', Sorinola M. ↓, Edwards J. ↑,
70', Iorfa D. ↓, Palmer L. ↑,
75', Gyabi D. 🟨,
79', Kobacki O. 🟨,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 13).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 2.
The competitors look crappy now.
Sheff Wed could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Plymouth have a series of guest games.
Sheff Wed will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B.
(Hip Injury)
Hardie R.
(Back Injury)
Tijani M.
(Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Sheff Wed: Bernard D.
(Knee Injury)
Lowe M.
(Muscle Injury)
Musaba A.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Sheff Wed: Famewo A.
(Muscle Injury)
Paterson C.
(Injury)
Smith M.
(Illness)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1.4:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Plymouth won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:1 (average 2.8:0.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Plymouth Argyle - the odds 3.58 are the expected chance of winning is 26.27%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.