Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 9

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: One Call Stadium (Mansfield)

Referee: Edwards M. (Eng)


	Mansfield Town		Barrow

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	6.5
	1.53	4.2	6	Watch
	1.54	4.21	6.58
	1.44	3.75	5.8
	1.53	3.95	6.45	Watch
	1.54	3.95	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.81)	4.01 ↑ (3.48)	6.19 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mansfield Town
61.5%

Draw
23.3%

Barrow
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

27.1%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

26.4%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mansfield Town's performance.

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barrow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mansfield Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barrow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mansfield Town - Barrow Predictions

Users Predictions: Mansfield Town will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pym C. (G) 9. Bowery J. 14. Flint A. (C) 24. Brunt L. 11. MacDonald C. 15. Lewis A. 25. Reed L. 40. Keillor-Dunn D. 8. Clarke O. 7. Akins L. 26. Swan W.	1. Farman P. (G) 24. Feely R. 5. Ray G. 6. Canavan N. (C) 29. Tiensia J. 8. Spence K. 15. Gotts R. 4. Campbell D. 9. Proctor J. 20. Acquah E. 7. Worrall D.
Substitutes
44. Boateng H. 6. Cargill B. 19. Cooper G. 13. Flinders S. (G) 12. Gale J. 10. Maris G. 22. Williams G.	17. Chester J. 16. Foley S. 10. Garner G. 12. Lillis J. (G) 19. Telford D. 13. White T.
Coaches
Clough N.	Wild P.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 3.

Mansfield is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Barrow is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barrow could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mansfield is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Mansfield to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Mansfield won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mansfield Town
English League Two
16.09.23	Colchester United - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Accrington Stanley - Mansfield Town	0:3 ✺
02.09.23	Mansfield Town - Bradford City	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
29.08.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Mansfield Town	1:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
26.08.23	Mansfield Town - Stockport County	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 TWTWW
- Barrow
English League Two
16.09.23	Newport County - Barrow	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Barrow - Blackpool	0:2 ✺
English League Two
02.09.23	Harrogate Town - Barrow	0:1 ✺
26.08.23	Barrow - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Stockport County - Barrow	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
07.01.23	Mansfield Town - Barrow	2:3
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Barrow - Mansfield Town	0:1
English League Two
08.10.22	Barrow - Mansfield Town	0:1
22.01.22	Barrow - Mansfield Town	1:3
02.10.21	Mansfield Town - Barrow	0:1
06.03.21	Barrow - Mansfield Town	2:0
27.10.20	Mansfield Town - Barrow	2:4

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