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Current Win Probability
Accrington Stanley 34.2%
Draw 28.5%
Mansfield Town 37.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.8%
23.5%
46.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.1%
23.3%
46.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mansfield Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mansfield Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Accrington Stanley - Mansfield Town Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Accrington (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Accrington (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Wright O. (G) 17. Matthews D. 5. Rawson F. 14. Ward B. 2. Love D. 6. Coyle L. 4. Grant C. 30. Heath I. 8. Madden P. 11. Sinclair I. 7. Whalley S. (C)
12. Mason O. (G) 23. Oshilaja A. 5. Sweeney R. (C) 6. Cargill B. 22. Moriah-Welsh N. 20. Blake-Tracy F. 15. McDonnell J. 3. McLaughlin S. 18. Oates R. 25. Reed L. 17. Dickov M.
Substitutes
16. Bauress J. 20. Brown C. 18. Caton C. 28. Conneely S. 1. Kelly M. (G) 22. Martin D. 38. O'Brien C. 21. Rogerson J. (G) 39. Woods J.
7. Akins L. 38. Chambers J. 14. Dwyer D. 11. Evans W. 36. Goodman J. 4. Hewitt E. 21. McAdam K. 37. Shore M. (G) 39. Taylor O.
Coaches
Doolan J.
Clough N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Cargill B. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Heath I. ⚽, Love D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dickov M. ↓, Evans W. ↑,
46', Cargill B. ↓, Akins L. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Evans W. ⚽, Moriah-Welsh N. (A),
69', Grant C. ↓, Bauress J. ↑,
72', Reed L. 🟨,
76', Oshilaja A. 🟨,
82', Sinclair I. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
89', Whalley S. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
90', Oates R. ↓, Dwyer D. ↑,
90+1', McLaughlin S. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
94', Coyle L. ↓, Conneely S. ↑,
97', McDonnell J. ↓, Hewitt E. ↑,
102', 2 - 1, Madden P. ⚽,
103', McLaughlin S. ↓, McAdam K. ↑,
105+2', 2 - 2, McAdam K. ⚽,
106', Blake-Tracy F. ↓, Taylor O. ↑,
106', Madden P. ↓, O'Brien C. ↑,
106', Love D. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Bauress J. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Akins L. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Brown C. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Oshilaja A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Ward B. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Reed L. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Heath I. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 2.
Accrington is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Mansfield is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Mansfield could have a small edge in this match.
We predict that Accrington will win today's game, with odds of 2.99.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.6:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Accrington Stanley - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 29.78%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Wright O. (G) 
Love D. 
Coyle L. 
Madden P. 
Moriah-Welsh N. 
Caton C. 
Akins L. 
Dwyer D. 
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