Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 5

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Jocay (Manta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Manta		Guayaquil City

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.82	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.6
	2.52	3.05	2.72
	2.52	3.51	2.71
	2.54	3.29	2.74	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.63
	2.74	2.75	2.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (1.77)	3.11 ↓ (3.49)	2.88 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manta
38%

Draw
29.8%

Guayaquil City
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

26.2%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manta's form might have worsened.

Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guayaquil City's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Manta - Guayaquil City Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Manta will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Manta: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Guayaquil City (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Manta (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Manta (votes: 1 - 50%). Guayaquil City (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zambrano F. (G) 23. Medina A. 24. Moscarelli O. 21. Ortiz M. 31. Mina G. 10. Burbano R. 5. Ramirez B. 6. Jimenez J. 19. Alman J. (C) 8. Valencia M. 9. Blanco J.	1. Napa G. (G) 3. Rodriguez Y. 29. Quinonez J. 6. Arias R. (C) 17. Ayovi Caicedo J. J. 15. Sambonino K. 20. Laurino S. 70. Mancilla P. 19. Naula A. 80. Gonzalez P. 11. Mero E.
Substitutes
17. Angulo J. 11. Asagidigbi F. 18. Beltramone E. 7. Cabezas D. 33. Castillo A. 20. Chala J. 1. Chavez W. (G) 45. Cuero I. 70. Nazareno J. 99. Pico E. (G) 16. Quintero D. 52. Rialpe J.	21. Andrade J. M. 51. Cabezas E. 10. Diaz D. 8. Humanante J. 5. Julio M. 4. Ladines Calvache E. P. 16. Ordonez J. 9. Palma M. 12. Perea R. (G)
Coaches
Carvajal Burgos J. E.	Gavilanez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Mancilla P. ⚽, Gonzalez P. (A),
41', Valencia M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alman J. ↓, Quintero D. ↑,
46', Burbano R. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
46', Mina G. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
59', Jimenez J. ↓, Cabezas D. ↑,
71', Ramirez B. ↓, Asagidigbi F. ↑,
71', Gonzalez P. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
77', Medina A. 🟨,
84', Carvajal Burgos J. E. 🟨,
87', Blanco J. 🟨,
90+2', Mero E. 🟨,
90+3', Mero E. ↓, Palma M. ↑,
90+5', Sambonino K. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
90+5', Mancilla P. ↓, Ladines Calvache E. P. ↑,
90+5', Naula A. ↓, Andrade J. M. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manta won 0.

Guayaquil City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Guayaquil City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Manta will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Manta won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manta FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
14.03.26	Delfín - Manta	0:1 ✺
09.03.26	Orense - Manta	1:1 ✺
02.03.26	Manta - Independiente del Valle	0:2 ✺
23.02.26	Libertad Loja - Manta	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Técnico Universitario - Manta	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WTLLW
- Guayaquil City FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.03.26	Guayaquil City - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Delfín - Guayaquil City	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Guayaquil City - SD Aucas	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Independiente del Valle - Guayaquil City	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.02.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Guayaquil City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
29.10.24	Guayaquil City - Manta	3:0
11.07.24	Manta - Guayaquil City	2:2
08.06.24	Manta - Guayaquil City	0:0
16.04.24	Guayaquil City - Manta	1:1
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
24.10.21	Manta - Guayaquil City	1:1
10.05.21	Guayaquil City - Manta	0:3

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