Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 2

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Jocay (Manta)

Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Manta		Independiente del Valle

	1	X	2
	8	4.2	1.35	Watch
	6.9	4.25	1.41	Watch
	7.41	4.66	1.41
	7.38	4.63	1.4	Watch
	7	4	1.36
	7.65	4.18	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.39 ↑ (5.6)	4.32 ↑ (3.7)	1.39 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manta
12.5%

Draw
21.3%

Independiente del Valle
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.7%

25.3%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente del Valle's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Manta - Independiente del Valle Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Ind del Valle (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zambrano F. (G) 23. Medina A. 24. Moscarelli O. 21. Ortiz M. 31. Mina G. 8. Valencia M. 6. Jimenez J. 5. Ramirez B. 10. Burbano R. 19. Alman J. (C) 9. Blanco J.	1. Peralta M. (G) 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 14. Carabajal M. 23. Viacava J. 19. Loor L. 6. Alcivar J. 11. Perello M. 10. Sornoza J. (C) 7. Mercado P. 31. Pata E. 99. Reasco D.
Substitutes
17. Angulo J. 11. Asagidigbi F. 18. Beltramone E. 7. Cabezas D. 33. Castillo A. 20. Chala J. 1. Chavez W. (G) 45. Cuero I. 70. Nazareno J. 99. Pico E. (G) 16. Quintero D. 52. Rialpe J.	21. Arroyo J. P. 12. Bores E. (G) 16. Briones R. 15. Cortez G. 4. Espinoza J. 9. Gonzalez C. 53. Lerma J. 32. Mendez J. 8. Ochoa Y. 17. Rodriguez A. 52. Vasquez Y. 33. Velasco A.
Coaches
Carvajal Burgos J. E.	Papa J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Pata E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Perello M. ↓, Arroyo J. P. ↑,
56', Carabajal M. 🟨,
56', Reasco D. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
61', Blanco J. 🟨,
62', Valencia M. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
70', Jimenez J. ↓, Nazareno J. ↑,
72', Mercado P. ↓, Lerma J. ↑,
72', Pata E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
77', Blanco J. ↓, Asagidigbi F. ↑,
77', Burbano R. ↓, Beltramone E. ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Lerma J. (A),
82', Ramirez B. 🟨,
84', Sornoza J. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Arroyo J. P. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manta won 1.

Ind del Valle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ind del Valle is seen as the favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Manta won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	30	24	2	4	73:33	40	74

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manta FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.02.26	Libertad Loja - Manta	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Técnico Universitario - Manta	2:3 ✺
22.11.25	Manta - Vinotinto	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Manta - Mushuc Runa	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Vinotinto - Manta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWWWL
- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.02.26	Independiente del Valle - Guayaquil City	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Independiente del Valle	0:1 ✺
10.12.25	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
09.08.25	Manta - Independiente del Valle	0:0
19.04.25	Independiente del Valle - Manta	2:0
18.10.21	Independiente del Valle - Manta	1:1
02.05.21	Manta - Independiente del Valle	2:1
14.12.14	Independiente del Valle - Manta	4:0
09.08.14	Manta - Independiente del Valle	2:3
10.05.14	Manta - Independiente del Valle	0:1

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