Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 18

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito)

Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Teleamazonas, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	LDU Quito		Libertad Loja

	1	X	2
	1.11	7.50	17.00	Watch
	1.14	7.25	13.00
	1.16	6.75	14.00	Watch
	1.15	8.08	16.43
	1.24	6.1	10.83	Watch
	1.13	8.00	16.00
	1.14	7.48	16.20	Watch
	1.13	6.60	15.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.34)	7.22 ↑ (4.8)	14.81 ↑ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Quito
80.8%

Draw
12.9%

Libertad Loja
6.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

19.3%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in LDU Quito's performance.

Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Libertad Loja might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

LDU Quito - Libertad Loja Predictions

Users Predictions: LDU Quito will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Valle G. (G) 23. Quinonez Y. 30. Allala Menendez G. F. 44. Segovia L. 33. Quinonez L. (C) 67. Carabali J. 7. Redes R. 8. Pretell J. 26. Zambrano I. 13. Corozo J. 16. Deyverson	12. Cabezas D. (C) 2. Morinigo R. 6. Caicedo B. 25. Lucas M. 66. Estacio J. 17. Patta E. 23. Guisamano J. 30. Bravo J. 70. Branda V. 11. Batalla H. 33. Chere A.
Substitutes
4. Ade R. 10. Alvarado A. 24. Calle J. 21. Castillo E. 28. Cuero Mercado J. W. 22. Dominguez A. (G) 11. Estrada M. 32. Gomez A. 99. Luna Tobar C. 27. Mina R. 3. Mina R. 12. Villa A. (G)	52. Bao A. (G) 9. Caicedo E. 8. Castro S. 49. Coronel D. 10. Cortez Casierra G. J. 7. Orejuela C. 80. Pineda Arana X. E. 18. Quinonez Y. 63. Valencia C.
Coaches
Tiago Nunes	Buch J. P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Estacio J. 🟨,
30', Segovia L. 🟨,
45+3', Redes R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Estacio J. ↓, Valencia C. ↑,
46', Segovia L. ↓, Ade R. ↑,
63', Chere A. ↓, Coronel D. ↑,
68', Branda V. ↓, Orejuela C. ↑,
69', Guisamano J. ↓, Quinonez Y. ↑,
72', Carabali J. ↓, Mina R. ↑,
72', Zambrano I. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
77', Quinonez Y. 🟨,
82', Bravo J. ↓, Pineda Arana X. E. ↑,
85', Redes R. ↓, Luna Tobar C. ↑,
85', Pretell J. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
90+7', Allala Menendez G. F. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 2.

LDU Quito is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Libertad is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Libertad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, LDU Quito is the clear favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 2.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.8:1).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	LDU Quito	31	14	7	10	33:25	8	49

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Copa
08.07.26	Independiente Juniors - LDU Quito	1:2 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
05.07.26	Deportivo Macará - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
01.07.26	LDU Quito - Orense	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.05.26	LDU Quito - Always Ready	3:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.05.26	Deportivo Cuenca - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWT
- Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.07.26	Libertad Loja - Leones del Norte	1:3 ✺
30.05.26	Manta - Libertad Loja	2:1 ✺
22.05.26	Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja	2:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
19.05.26	LDU Portoviejo - Libertad Loja	2:1 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.05.26	Libertad Loja - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
07.03.26	Libertad Loja - LDU Quito	2:1
14.12.25	Libertad Loja - LDU Quito	2:1
08.11.25	LDU Quito - Libertad Loja	3:1
12.09.25	Libertad Loja - LDU Quito	0:1
19.05.25	LDU Quito - Libertad Loja	1:1
25.08.24	LDU Quito - Libertad Loja	3:0
30.04.24	Libertad Loja - LDU Quito	2:3

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