Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 17

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)

Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportivo Macará		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.30	2.10	Watch
	3.20	3.10	2.05
	3.10	3.10	2.28	Watch
	3.54	3.19	2.22
	3.36	3.15	2.2	Watch
	3.45	3.15	2.19
	3.27	3.32	2.17	Watch
	3.25	3.15	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↓ (3.6)	3.18 ↓ (3.23)	2.16 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Macará
28.1%

Draw
29.1%

LDU Quito
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

28.3%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

26.9%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LDU Quito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	6.7%	86.7%

Deportivo Macará - LDU Quito Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: LDU Quito will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez R. (G) 25. Bolanos D. 21. Etchebarne S. 14. Marrufo J. (C) 13. Ayala M. 15. Tello M. 16. Cazares J. 10. Miranda M. 87. Klinger J. 9. Posse F. 20. Viera M.	22. Dominguez A. (C) 30. Allala Menendez G. F. 44. Segovia L. 33. Quinonez L. 28. Cuero Mercado J. W. 20. Cornejo F. 8. Pretell J. 23. Quinonez Y. 7. Redes R. 99. Luna Tobar C. 11. Estrada M.
Substitutes
50. Caicedo C. 28. Campana A. I. 77. Chala J. 12. Cuero D. (G) 3. Espinoza J. 11. Espinoza T. 5. Estacio J. 22. Ferro L. 4. Jimenez J. 26. Medranda M. 27. Mohor J. 19. Ramos P.	4. Ade R. 10. Alvarado A. 67. Carabali J. 13. Corozo J. 16. Deyverson 9. Medina J. 27. Mina R. 3. Mina R. 1. Valle G. (G) 12. Villa A. (G) 15. Villamil G. 26. Zambrano I.
Coaches
Sanguinetti G.	Tiago Nunes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Viera M. ⚽, Tello M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cuero Mercado J. W. ↓, Zambrano I. ↑,
46', Luna Tobar C. ↓, Carabali J. ↑,
46', Cornejo F. ↓, Villamil G. ↑,
64', Estrada M. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
68', Tello M. ↓, Estacio J. ↑,
68', Viera M. ↓, Campana A. I. ↑,
76', Pretell J. ↓, Corozo J. ↑,
78', Klinger J. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
90', Bolanos D. ↓, Espinoza J. ↑,
90', Ayala M. ↓, Mohor J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 1.

In recent matches, Macará has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

LDU Quito is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Macará may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Macará has had a series of away games.

Recently, LDU Quito has had a series of home games.

LDU Quito might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Macará won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:35. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.3:2.1).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Macara	31	16	6	9	43:34	9	54
5	LDU Quito	31	14	7	10	33:25	8	49

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Copa
04.06.26	Cuenca Juniors - Deportivo Macará	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.06.26	Leones del Norte - Deportivo Macará	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.05.26	América de Cali - Deportivo Macará	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
24.05.26	Emelec - Deportivo Macará	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
21.05.26	Deportivo Macará - Alianza Atlético	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTTLT
- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.07.26	LDU Quito - Orense	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.05.26	LDU Quito - Always Ready	3:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.05.26	Deportivo Cuenca - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.05.26	LDU Quito - Lanús	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.05.26	LDU Quito - Técnico Universitario	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.03.26	LDU Quito - Deportivo Macará	0:2
30.08.25	LDU Quito - Deportivo Macará	1:1
10.05.25	Deportivo Macará - LDU Quito	0:1
04.08.24	Deportivo Macará - LDU Quito	0:4
04.03.24	LDU Quito - Deportivo Macará	2:1
22.10.22	Deportivo Macará - LDU Quito	0:5
29.05.22	LDU Quito - Deportivo Macará	3:2

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