Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 11

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Jocay (Manta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Manta		Universidad Católica del Ecuador

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.3	1.79	Watch
	3.9	3.25	1.78
	4.05	3.3	1.85
	4.68	3.45	1.83
	4.46	3.38	1.84	Watch
	3.9	3.1	1.83
	4.31	3.48	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↓ (4.99)	3.32 ↓ (3.56)	1.82 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Manta
21.7%

Draw
27.7%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

26.3%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

25.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad Católica del Ecuador could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zambrano F. (G) 45. Cuero I. 24. Moscarelli O. 16. Quintero D. 20. Chala J. 5. Ramirez B. 70. Nazareno J. 6. Jimenez J. 27. Troya J. 9. Blanco J. 19. Alman J. (C)	22. Romo R. (G) 24. Nazareno D. 33. Canga L. (C) 4. Jhon Chancellor 44. Valencia E. 15. Moreno L. 5. Cacciabue J. 9. Londono A. 23. Rodriguez A. 18. Palacios B. 32. Alonso M.
Substitutes
17. Angulo J. 11. Asagidigbi F. 18. Beltramone E. 10. Burbano S. 7. Cabezas D. 1. Chavez W. (G) 23. Medina A. 21. Ortiz M. 99. Pico E. (G) 52. Rialpe J. 8. Valencia M.	29. Anangono G. 20. Chala J. 8. Clavijo E. 7. Fajardo J. 12. Lara J. (G) 10. Martinez F. 30. Mejia E. 6. Palacios D. 13. Rose E. 19. Sevillano M. 17. Troya R. 26. Yanez S.
Coaches
Carvajal Burgos J. E.	Martinez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Moscarelli O. ⚽,
45', Ramirez B. 🟨,
45+1', Canga L. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alonso M. ↓, Palacios D. ↑,
46', Cacciabue J. ↓, Mejia E. ↑,
46', Rodriguez A. ↓, Clavijo E. ↑,
49', Troya J. 🟨,
56', Moscarelli O. 🟨,
63', Palacios B. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
66', Troya J. ↓, Asagidigbi F. ↑,
72', Jimenez J. ↓, Ortiz M. ↑,
79', Londono A. ↓, Rose E. ↑,
79', Ramirez B. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
79', Alman J. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
90+1', Zambrano F. 🟨,
90+1', Carvajal Burgos J. E. 🟨,
90+4', Nazareno J. 🟨,
90+6', Carvajal Burgos J. E. 🟥,
90+7', Clavijo E. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).

Manta has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Uni Católica is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Uni Católica has had a series of home games.

In this match, Uni Católica is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Uni Católica will win today's game, with odds of 1.81.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Manta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	U. Catolica	31	14	9	8	52:29	23	51

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manta FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.04.26	Leones del Norte - Manta	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Manta - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Mushuc Runa - Manta	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Manta - Técnico Universitario	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	LDU Quito - Manta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.04.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Macará	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Técnico Universitario - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Guayaquil City	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.07.25	Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	4:2
15.03.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Manta	3:0
30.07.21	Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:1
27.02.21	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Manta	3:3

Upcoming Matches