Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 10

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra (Ibarra)

Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Leones del Norte		Manta

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.1	4.1	Watch
	1.95	3.05	3.9	Watch
	2.04	3.1	4.55
	1.95	3.17	4.26	Watch
	1.95	2.88	3.7
	1.99	3.09	4.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.92)	3.07 ↓ (3.18)	4.1 ↓ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones del Norte
47.1%

Draw
30.3%

Manta
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

29.4%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

25.7%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Leones del Norte - Manta Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Manta will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Nazareno L. (G) 4. Arroyo R. 2. Moran J. 23. Monserrat N. 34. Portocarrero S. 70. Micolta S. 13. Cabeza J. 8. Velez C. 16. De La Cruz M. 99. Solano C. 40. Anangono J. (C)	12. Zambrano F. (G) 14. Mina J. 16. Quintero D. 24. Moscarelli O. 21. Ortiz M. (C) 20. Chala J. 19. Alman J. 70. Nazareno J. 5. Ramirez B. 11. Asagidigbi F. 9. Blanco J.
Substitutes
32. Aguas A. 15. Araujo I. 22. Arroyo J. (G) 50. Caicedo M. 27. Caicedo Nestor 11. Caramuto M. 33. Chacon A. 10. Mansilla A. 44. Mina K. 19. Pepinos E. 14. Rosales A. 3. Vargas F.	17. Angulo J. 18. Beltramone E. 7. Cabezas D. 1. Chavez W. (G) 6. Jimenez J. 23. Medina A. 52. Rialpe J. 27. Troya J. 8. Valencia M.
Coaches
Mendez E.	Carvajal Burgos J. E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Anangono J. ⚽, De La Cruz M. (A),
30', 2 - 0, Anangono J. (Penalty Awarded),
42', Moscarelli O. 🟨,
45+1', Velez C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mina J. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
46', Ramirez B. ↓, Troya J. ↑,
47', 3 - 0, Solano C. ⚽, Micolta S. (A),
56', Ortiz M. ↓, Rialpe J. ↑,
56', Asagidigbi F. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
63', Micolta S. ↓, Caramuto M. ↑,
63', Solano C. ↓, Mansilla A. ↑,
66', Alman J. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
68', Medina A. 🟨,
70', Mansilla A. 🟥,
76', Portocarrero S. ↓, Aguas A. ↑,
76', Velez C. ↓, Pepinos E. ↑,
78', Angulo J. 🟨,
80', Anangono J. ↓, Caicedo Nestor ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).

Leones del Norte is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Manta has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Manta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Leones del Norte is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Leones del Norte won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Leones del Norte won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.04.26	Leones del Norte - SD Aucas	0:1 ✺
10.04.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Leones del Norte	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Leones del Norte - Delfín	1:0 ✺
23.03.26	Guayaquil City - Leones del Norte	0:0 ✺
17.03.26	Leones del Norte - LDU Quito	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWTL
- Manta FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.04.26	Manta - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Mushuc Runa - Manta	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Manta - Técnico Universitario	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	LDU Quito - Manta	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Manta - Guayaquil City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
26.09.24	Leones del Norte - Manta	1:1
06.08.24	Manta - Leones del Norte	2:1
04.06.24	Manta - Leones del Norte	3:1
10.04.24	Leones del Norte - Manta	3:0

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