The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mantova 35.2%
Draw 34.8%
Südtirol-Alto Adige 30%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.8%
28.9%
38.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.1%
28.6%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Südtirol-Alto Adige might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Südtirol-Alto Adige could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.1%
46.2%
30.8%
Mantova - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Südtirol will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.1% – 73.3%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Festa M. (C) 17. Radaelli N. 27. Castellini A. 29. Cella S. 6. Bani C. 36. Paoletti F. 8. Artioli F. 21. Trimboli S. 19. Ruocco F. 99. Bonfanti N. 30. Bragantini D.
1. Poluzzi G. (C) 4. Mancini D. 3. Toure A. 23. Davi F. 79. Molina S. 14. Coulibaly M. 18. Tronchin S. 8. Mallamo A. 24. Davi S. 33. Merkaj S. 9. Pecorino E.
Substitutes
22. Andrenacci L. (G) 18. Falletti C. 20. Fedel G. 11. Fiori A. 14. Galuppini F. 96. Maggioni T. 37. Majer Z. 9. Mancuso L. 23. Marras T. 7. Mensah D. 53. Pittino T. 10. Wieser D.
31. Adamonis M. (G) 46. Brik D. 17. Casiraghi D. 94. El Kaouakibi H. 11. Italeng J. 6. Martini J. 5. Masiello A. 90. Odogwu R. 13. Sabatini C. 21. Tait F. 62. Theiner D. (G) 7. Zedadka K.
Coaches
Possanzini D.
Castori F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Davi F. 🟨,
20', Bordon F. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Pecorino E. ⚽, Davi S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mancini D. ↓, Masiello A. ↑,
46', Mallamo A. ↓, Zedadka K. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Ruocco F. ⚽, Bragantini D. (A),
60', Paoletti F. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑,
64', Davi S. 🟨,
69', Ruocco F. ↓, Fiori A. ↑,
69', Bonfanti N. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
69', Davi S. ↓, Martini J. ↑,
70', Pecorino E. ↓, Odogwu R. ↑,
70', Bragantini D. 🟨,
80', Castellini A. ↓, Maggioni T. ↑,
80', Artioli F. ↓, Majer Z. ↑,
88', Coulibaly M. ↓, Tait F. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 1.
Mantova is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Südtirol has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Südtirol: El Kaouakibi H.
(Inactive)
Kofler R.
(Red Card)
Mancini D.
(Inactive)
Veseli F.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Mantova: Bani C.
(Injury)
Paoletti F.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Südtirol: Coulibaly M.
(Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Mantova won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
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Festa M. (C) 
Toure A. 
Coulibaly M. 
Merkaj S. 
Falletti C. 
Majer Z. 
Adamonis M. (G) 
Brik D. 
El Kaouakibi H. 
Italeng J. 
Zedadka K. 
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