Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 24

Date: 5 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estádio do Marítimo (Funchal)

Referee: Lima R. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV, Sport TV+


	Marítimo		Belenenses

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	7
	1.34	4.4	7.25	Watch
	1.36	4.75	8	Watch
	1.36	5.11	9.11
	1.36	5.11	9.11
	1.3	4.5	8
	1.37	4.7	8.1
	1.34	4.5	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.32)	4.7 ↑ (4.63)	8 ↓ (8.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marítimo
68.7%

Draw
19.7%

Belenenses
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

19.8%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.1%

18.5%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marítimo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	12.5%	6.2%

Marítimo - Belenenses Predictions

Users Predictions: Marítimo will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Abedzadeh A. (G) 21. Domingos T. 3. Da Rocha Borges R. 33. Santos Junior E. A. 45. Fabio China (C) 11. Silva L. 6. Mendes D. 98. Ibrahima 16. Euller 23. Xadas 99. Platiny	22. Grilo D. (G) 48. Manso T. 33. Correia R. 37. Akas C. 5. Goncalves T. 16. Chapi 19. Valente D. (C) 77. Keita M. 23. Fernandes X. 21. Pina R. 99. Silva M.
Substitutes
19. Borukov P. 70. Cann F. 13. Collard D. 22. Gomes Aguiar F. T. 20. Gomes B. 82. Guerrero J. 25. Rene 1. Samu (G) 10. Tavares J.	18. Attard C. 25. Carvalho P. 6. Chaby F. 12. Dini F. 3. Fabao 9. Matos R. 14. Oliveira G. (G) 11. Sambu M. 10. Tavares M.
Coaches
Pereira F.	Barreto M.

Preview

Marítimo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Belenenses is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Marítimo is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Marítimo
Portuguese Liga 2
25.02.24	Mafra - Marítimo	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Marítimo - Porto B	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Paços de Ferreira - Marítimo	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Marítimo - Benfica B	3:1 ✺
28.01.24	AVS - Marítimo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWWL
- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 2
25.02.24	Belenenses - Torreense	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Leiria - Belenenses	4:2 ✺
11.02.24	Belenenses - Tondela	0:0 ✺
02.02.24	Mafra - Belenenses	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Porto B - Belenenses	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
08.10.23	Belenenses - Marítimo	1:2

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