Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes (Vila Nova de Gaia)

Referee: Ramalho P. (Por)


	Porto B		Belenenses

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	5.25
	1.53	3.9	5
	1.55	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.52	4.09	5.5
	1.57	4.39	5.77
	1.44	4	5.5
	1.56	4.2	5.38
	1.54	3.95	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.54)	4.09 ↓ (4.29)	5.36 ↓ (5.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Porto B
60.3%

Draw
22.5%

Belenenses
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

22.1%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

21.8%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	30%	10%

Porto B - Belenenses Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Porto B will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Belenenses will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto B: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Ribeiro G. (G) 52. Fernandes M. 44. Correia R. (C) 53. Eric Pimentel 72. Pinheiro R. 67. Sousa V. 46. Braima 98. Abraham M. 86. Mora R. 96. Gui Guedes 95. Cande A.	22. Grilo D. (G) 25. Carvalho P. 3. Fabao 37. Akas C. (C) 48. Manso T. 16. Chapi 20. Mica 87. Zequinha 6. Chaby F. 10. Tavares M. 11. Sambu M.
Substitutes
66. Cassama A. 74. Djalo U. 51. Fernandes D. (G) 62. Fernandes R. 78. Meireles J. 77. Monteiro R. 54. Ribeiro A. 49. Sousa G. 50. Wendell	18. Attard C. 12. Dini F. 23. Fernandes X. 77. Keita M. 9. Matos R. 14. Oliveira G. (G) 21. Pina R. 13. Serra A. 19. Valente D.
Coaches
Folha A.	Faisca V.

Preview

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two teams.

Porto B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Porto B is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Porto B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
21.01.24	Tondela - Porto B	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Porto B - Benfica B	0:3 ✺
07.01.24	Paços de Ferreira - Porto B	3:0 ✺
30.12.23	Porto B - Nacional	2:3 ✺
17.12.23	Santa Clara - Porto B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL
- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 2
20.01.24	Belenenses - AVS	1:3 ✺
13.01.24	Belenenses - Paços de Ferreira	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Benfica B - Belenenses	2:1 ✺
22.12.23	Belenenses - Santa Clara	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Nacional - Belenenses	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
20.08.23	Belenenses - Porto B	1:1

Upcoming Matches