Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Restelo (Lisbon)

Referee: Shirzad H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV3


	Belenenses		Tondela

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.25	2.15
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	3.4	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.5	3.3	2.13
	3.64	3.41	2.15
	3.2	3.2	2
	3.45	3.32	2.11
	3.15	3.2	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↓ (3.43)	3.26 ↓ (3.3)	2.1 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belenenses
27.6%

Draw
28.4%

Tondela
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

27.7%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

27%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	42.9%	57.1%

Belenenses - Tondela Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Grilo D. (G) 34. Ilori T. 3. Fabao 37. Akas C. (C) 48. Manso T. 16. Chapi 20. Mica 11. Sambu M. 23. Fernandes X. 10. Tavares M. 9. Matos R.	41. Silva R. (G) 19. Tiago Almeida 34. Alves R. (C) 13. Ba A. 26. Lucas Barros 10. Gomes R. 6. Ceitil A. 8. Tavares H. 7. Xavier 17. Roberto 55. Farias L.
Substitutes
6. Chaby F. 33. Correia R. 8. Gomes Tavares D. 77. Keita M. 14. Oliveira G. (G) 5. Peres T. 21. Pina R. 99. Silva M. 19. Valente D.	97. Cicero 30. Clinton 11. Costinha 18. Cuba 9. dos Anjos D. 22. Leo Navacchio (G) 44. Lucas Mezenga 21. Maranhao 16. Rocha L.
Coaches
Faisca V.	Marreco T.

Preview

Belenenses has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tondela is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tondela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tondela will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 2
02.02.24	Mafra - Belenenses	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Porto B - Belenenses	3:0 ✺
20.01.24	Belenenses - AVS	1:3 ✺
13.01.24	Belenenses - Paços de Ferreira	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Benfica B - Belenenses	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLLL
- CD Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2
05.02.24	Tondela - Paços de Ferreira	1:1 ✺
30.01.24	Académico de Viseu - Tondela	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Tondela - Porto B	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Tondela - AVS	3:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
09.01.24	Sporting Lisbon - Tondela	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
01.09.23	Tondela - Belenenses	0:1

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