The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marítimo 49.8%
Draw 24.9%
Chaves 25.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.5%
28.2%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
28.1%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marítimo's performance.
Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marítimo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
10%
10%
Marítimo - Chaves Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Marítimo will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Samu (G) 2. Igor Juliao 4. Santos Junior E. A. 24. Da Rocha Borges R. 25. Freitas A. 18. Danilovic V. 14. Raphael Guzzo 21. Bouzaidi S. 10. Tejon M. 20. Gomes Aguiar F. T. 11. Guedes A. (C)
23. Gudzulic M. (G) 22. Muscat Z. 29. Tounkara M. 4. Bruno Rodrigues 34. Alves R. (C) 5. Kiko 30. Kusso D. 26. Rodrigues G. 20. Ktatau 77. Reinaldo 7. Delgado J.
Substitutes
68. Batista N. 3. Butzke A. 28. Carlos Daniel 44. Correia R. 98. Ibrahima 9. Melro J. 7. Pena Zauner E. 17. Xavi Grande 34. Zavala K. (G)
44. Bikoro F. 70. Cardoso D. 6. Eboudje B. 27. Esajas R. 18. Pereira H. 17. Roberto 3. Romero A. 33. Simoes T. 1. Vozinha (G)
Coaches
Moita M.
Martins V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Kusso D. ⚽, Reinaldo (A),
15', 0 - 2, Reinaldo ⚽, Kusso D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gomes Aguiar F. T. ↓, Carlos Daniel ↑,
46', Guedes A. ↓, Butzke A. ↑,
46', Freitas A. ↓, Xavi Grande ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Butzke A. ⚽, Xavi Grande (A),
56', 1 - 3, Kusso D. ⚽, Kiko (A),
57', Igor Juliao 🟨,
64', Santos Junior E. A. 🟨,
66', Delgado J. ↓, Eboudje B. ↑,
66', Rodrigues G. ↓, Esajas R. ↑,
69', Ktatau 🟨,
74', Alves R. ↓, Simoes T. ↑,
77', Danilovic V. ↓, Ibrahima ↑,
77', Bouzaidi S. ↓, Pena Zauner E. ↑,
85', Kiko ↓, Romero A. ↑,
85', Kusso D. ↓, Cardoso D. ↑,
86', Samu ↓, Zavala K. ↑,
88', Bruno Rodrigues 🟨,
90+1', Ktatau ↓, Bikoro F. ↑,
Preview
Marítimo is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Liga Portugal
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Marítimo might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Marítimo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
16
Chaves
6
1
1
4
5:13
-8
4
Last Results with these Odds
Marítimo - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.52%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.
Portugal
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Samu (G) 
Igor Juliao 
Danilovic V. 
Bouzaidi S. 
Tejon M. 
Gudzulic M. (G) 
Muscat Z. 
Tounkara M. 
Kusso D. 
Ibrahima 
Pena Zauner E. 
Zavala K. (G) 
Bikoro F. 
Eboudje B. 
Esajas R. 
Vozinha (G) 
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