Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 12

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Estádio dos Barreiros (Funchal)

Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Marítimo		Famalicão

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.62	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.55
	2.8	3.15	2.55
	2.7	3.1	2.65
	2.76	3.19	2.85
	2.7	3.1	2.62	Watch
	2.65	3.25	2.66	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.76)	3.16 ↑ (3.16)	2.65 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marítimo
34.6%

Draw
29.8%

Famalicão
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

29.5%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

29.4%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.6%	55.9%	23.5%

Marítimo - Famalicão Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Marítimo will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). Famalicão will win (votes: 8 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 55.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2% – 72.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 14).

Marítimo has the most likely position - 17 (27.02%), has project points - 29, has currently - 5, has a good chance of relegated (56%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Famalicão has the most likely position - 16 (10.04%), has project points - 39, has currently - 10, has a chance of relegated (16%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 44, importance 39, match rating 42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Famalicão could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Marítimo won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Marítimo
Liga Portugal
28.10.22	Paços de Ferreira - Marítimo	0:1 ✺
23.10.22	Marítimo - Arouca	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
15.10.22	Mafra - Marítimo	4:2 ET ✺
Liga Portugal
09.10.22	Boavista - Marítimo	1:1 ✺
03.10.22	Marítimo - Casa Pia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTLTL
- FC Famalicão
Liga Portugal
31.10.22	Vitoria Guimarães - Famalicão	3:2 ✺
22.10.22	Famalicão - Paços de Ferreira	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
15.10.22	Trofense - Famalicão	0:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
10.10.22	Arouca - Famalicão	4:1 ✺
02.10.22	Famalicão - Boavista	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
20.02.22	Marítimo - Famalicão	0:1
18.09.21	Famalicão - Marítimo	0:0
21.03.21	Marítimo - Famalicão	0:4
07.11.20	Famalicão - Marítimo	2:1
25.07.20	Marítimo - Famalicão	3:3
19.01.20	Famalicão - Marítimo	1:1
Portuguese League Cup
27.01.16	Marítimo - Famalicão	0:0

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