Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 23

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Marítimo (Funchal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV+


	Marítimo		Sporting Lisbon B

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.4	5.25
	1.62	3.7	5.15
	1.79	3.72	4.41
	1.61	4.01	5.18
	1.62	3.5	4.8
	1.69	3.53	5.19	Watch
	1.71	3.75	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.78)	3.66 ↑ (3.49)	4.9 ↑ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marítimo
55.7%

Draw
25.3%

Sporting Lisbon B
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.5%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

25.9%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Sporting Lisbon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Marítimo - Sporting Lisbon B Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Marítimo will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Sporting B will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Marítimo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Samu (G) 17. Xavi Grande 5. Madsen N. 44. Correia R. (C) 23. Henrique P. 8. Cruz M. 18. Danilovic V. 10. Tejon M. 28. Carlos Daniel 21. Bouzaidi S. 3. Butzke A.	41. Diego Callai (G) 50. Dias R. 54. Bruno Ramos 73. Felicissimo E. 45. Moreira D. (C) 96. Justo S. 78. Couto M. 40. Tanlongo M. 70. Blopa S. 90. Nel R. 87. Cardoso P.
Substitutes
6. Andrade R. 90. Borukov P. 20. Gomes Aguiar F. T. 98. Ibrahima 9. Melro J. 1. Pastor A. (G) 7. Pena Zauner E. 14. Raphael Guzzo 4. Santos Junior E. A.	83. Bafdili Z. 59. Kaua Oliveira 75. Kissanga M. 88. Mendonca M. 74. Pires G. (G) 60. Rayan Lucas 49. Romulus 82. Silva G. 95. Taibo Dominguez L.
Coaches
Moita M.	Joao Giao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Danilovic V. 🟨,
33', Dias R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Cruz M. ↓, Raphael Guzzo ↑,
66', Xavi Grande ↓, Andrade R. ↑,
66', Danilovic V. ↓, Ibrahima ↑,
72', Felicissimo E. ↓, Mendonca M. ↑,
76', Justo S. ↓, Kaua Oliveira ↑,
76', Couto M. ↓, Bafdili Z. ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Correia R. ⚽,
81', Tanlongo M. ↓, Silva G. ↑,
84', Butzke A. 🟨,
85', Tejon M. ↓, Pena Zauner E. ↑,
85', Butzke A. ↓, Borukov P. ↑,
88', Samu 🟨,
88', Raphael Guzzo 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Marítimo is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marítimo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sporting CP B	6	4	0	2	8:6	2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Marítimo
Portuguese Liga 2
15.02.26	Vizela - Marítimo	0:3 ✺
07.02.26	Marítimo - Farense	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Feirense - Marítimo	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Marítimo - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Lusitânia - Marítimo	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLTTW
- Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 2
15.02.26	Sporting Lisbon B - Portimonense	4:3 ✺
10.02.26	Paços de Ferreira - Sporting Lisbon B	0:3 ✺
01.02.26	Sporting Lisbon B - Oliveirense	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Leiria - Sporting Lisbon B	3:1 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
20.01.26	Manchester United U21 - Sporting Lisbon B	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
27.09.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Marítimo	0:1

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