Match Info

BRAZIL: CEARENSE - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Almir Dutra (Maracanaú)


	Maracanã		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.6	1.32
	8.5	4.75	1.33	Watch
	8.15	4.9	1.33
	8	4.7	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.04 ↓ (8.6)	4.74 ↑ (4.6)	1.32 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maracanã
11.4%

Draw
19.3%

Fortaleza
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.5%

19.7%

69.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.4%

19.5%

70.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maracanã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maracanã than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Maracanã - Fortaleza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Leandro (G) 13. Guilherme 3. Igor 9. Junior Mandacaru 22. Marcos Vinicius 6. Matheus Maranguape 10. Patuta 30. Pio 5. Rogerio 17. Testinha 2. Ze Augusto	1. Joao Ricardo (G) 6. Bruno Pacheco 25. Cardona T. 37. Kauan 13. Kuscevic B. 9. Lucero J. 39. Machuca I. 11. Marinho 7. Pochettino T. 2. Tinga 17. Ze Welison
Substitutes
23. Alan Ferreira 7. Da Silva Rocha C. 18. Davi 15. Dede 16. Fernandes C. 8. Iago Barbosa 11. Indio Potiguar 4. Jefferson Costa 21. Matheus Bahia 26. Ray 1. Rayr (G) 19. Rian	31. Amorim 77. Andrade Navarro K. M. 20. Dudu 27. Geilson Souza 88. Lucas Sasha 18. Luquinhas 21. Moises 28. Pedro Augusto 32. Pedro Rocha 16. Rossetto M. 23. Santos (G) 91. Thiago Galhardo

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Maracanã is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fortaleza is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maracanã could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fortaleza is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maracanã EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
03.03.24	Maracanã - Floresta	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	Floresta - Maracanã	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Maracanã	0:0 ✺
07.02.24	Maracanã - Iguatu	2:2 ✺
03.02.24	Barbalha - Maracanã	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLTTW
- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
07.03.24	Botafogo PB - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
04.03.24	Fluminense Piaui - Fortaleza	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
21.02.24	Sport Recife - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
17.02.24	Fortaleza - Ceará	3:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
14.02.24	Fortaleza - Ríver PI	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWTTW

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