Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 13

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	BandSports, SportyNet
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Maranhão		Internacional de Limeira

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.95	2.65
	2.2	3	3.05	Watch
	2.27	3.18	3.28
	2.56	3.03	2.86
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.23	3.22	3.22	Watch
	2.19	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.28)	3.07 ↑ (3.05)	3.02 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maranhão
39.8%

Draw
29.9%

Internacional de Limeira
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

30.4%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

30.7%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Internacional de Limeira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional de Limeira than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Maranhão - Internacional de Limeira Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Maranhão will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jean (G) 16. Andre Radija (C) 29. Felipe Cruz 10. Jorge Rocha 18. Keven 4. Lucao 25. Mauricio 5. Railson 15. Rosivan 14. Tiburcio 20. Vagalume	23. Emerson Junior (G) 20. Fabricio Dias 3. Frazan 21. Gabriel Dias 25. Lucas Buchecha 26. Marco Antonio 9. Miguel Bianconi (C) 14. Nassom 30. Robson 19. Vitor Leque 2. Yan Silva
Substitutes
13. Caio Victor 23. Caue (G) 3. Edson Fernando 7. Felipe Sales 9. Joelson 6. Lucas Santos 26. Luis Gustavo 21. Pedro Lucas 11. Pimentinha 22. Rodrigo 12. Vitao	10. Claudinho 31. Emerson Santos 99. Getulio 11. Gustavo Bochecha 22. Juan Tavares 33. Leo Paraiso 7. Rafael Oller 29. Richard 35. Romarinho 5. Ronaldo Henrique 1. Saulo (G)
Coaches
Testoni J.	Matheus Costa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', 🟨,
32', Fabricio Dias 🟨,
32', Vagalume 🟨,
35', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Frazan 🟨,
63', 0 - 1, Miguel Bianconi ⚽,
68', Railson ↓, Pimentinha ↑,
68', Tiburcio ↓, Luis Gustavo ↑,
70', Pimentinha 🟨,
90+5', Lucao 🟥,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Maranhão - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.65%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maranhão AC
Brazilian Serie C
28.06.26	Ituano - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	Maranhão - Paysandu	0:1 ✺
15.06.26	Maringá - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Anápolis - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Maranhão - Caxias	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLTTT
- Internacional de Limeira
Brazilian Serie C
27.06.26	Internacional de Limeira - Maringá	2:2 ✺
21.06.26	Ferroviária - Internacional de Limeira	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Paysandu - Internacional de Limeira	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Internacional de Limeira - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Internacional de Limeira - Itabaiana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLWWT

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