Match Info

Date: 5 January 2021, Tuesday


	Marbella		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	6	3.6	1.5	Watch
	6	3.75	1.55	Watch
	6.5	3.8	1.5
	6	3.7	1.49
	6.36	3.87	1.56
	6.5	3.8	1.55
	6.45	3.98	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.26 ↓ (7.58)	3.79 ↓ (4.5)	1.53 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbella
14.8%

Draw
24.5%

Valladolid
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12%

20.3%

67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.2%

17.2%

79.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valladolid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+19.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valladolid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marbella - Valladolid Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Valladolid could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Valladolid have a series of guest games.

In this match Valladolid is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marbella won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Marbella won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.20	Marbella - Lleida	1:0 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.12.20	Marbella - San Fernando	1:2 ✺
06.12.20	Las Palmas B - Marbella	1:1 ✺
29.11.20	Marbella - Recreativo Huelva	2:0 ✺
22.11.20	Atlético Sanluqueño - Marbella	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTWL
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga
02.01.21	Getafe - Valladolid	0:1 ✺
29.12.20	Cádiz - Valladolid	0:0 ✺
22.12.20	Valladolid - Barcelona	0:3 ✺
19.12.20	Sevilla - Valladolid	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.12.20	Cantolagua - Valladolid	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
11.01.20	Marbella - Valladolid	1:2 penalties

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