Match Info

Date: 23 January 2022, Sunday


	Marchamalo		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.5	1.49
	5.5	4.5	1.4
	6.6	4.1	1.4
	7.25	3.84	1.51
	6.3	4.05	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.43 ↑ (5.8)	4 ↑ (3.9)	1.46 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marchamalo
14.2%

Draw
22.9%

Real Murcia
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

23.7%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.2%

19.6%

73%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marchamalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marchamalo - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Marchamalo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Murcia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Murcia is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marchamalo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marchamalo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.01.22	Marchamalo - Hércules	0:1 ✺
18.12.21	Eldense - Marchamalo	4:0 ✺
12.12.21	Marchamalo - La Nucía	0:3 ✺
05.12.21	El Ejido - Marchamalo	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.11.21	Marchamalo - Valladolid	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLTL
- Real Murcia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.01.22	Deportivo Toledo - Real Murcia	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
29.12.21	UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia	3:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.12.21	Real Murcia - Mancha Real	1:0 ✺
12.12.21	Águilas - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
05.12.21	Real Murcia - Melilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.09.21	Real Murcia - Marchamalo	3:2

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