Match Info

Date: 6 February 2022, Sunday


	Marchamalo		Águilas

	1	X	2
	4.2	3	1.83
	4.5	3.25	1.7
	4.6	3.2	1.73
	3.98	2.99	2.09
	3.75	3.13	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.21 ↑ (4.05)	3.11 ↓ (3.15)	1.87 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marchamalo
21.8%

Draw
29.4%

Águilas
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

28.7%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

22.6%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marchamalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Águilas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marchamalo - Águilas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Marchamalo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Águilas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Águilas is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marchamalo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marchamalo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
30.01.22	Melilla - Marchamalo	4:1 ✺
23.01.22	Marchamalo - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
09.01.22	Marchamalo - Hércules	0:1 ✺
18.12.21	Eldense - Marchamalo	4:0 ✺
12.12.21	Marchamalo - La Nucía	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLLL
- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
30.01.22	Águilas - Deportivo Toledo	1:3 ✺
23.01.22	Mancha Real - Águilas	5:0 ✺
09.01.22	Águilas - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	1:0 ✺
19.12.21	Melilla - Águilas	1:1 ✺
12.12.21	Águilas - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.09.21	Águilas - Marchamalo	2:0

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