Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Willie Davids (Maringá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video


	Maringá		Juventude

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.35
	3.05	2.9	2.29
	3.15	3.15	2.41
	3.1	3.06	2.41	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.3
	3.18	3.16	2.37
	3.05	2.9	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (4.34)	3.05 ↓ (3.45)	2.35 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maringá
29.9%

Draw
30.4%

Juventude
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

27.1%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

26.4%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maringá's performance.

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventude might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maringá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventude could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	42.9%	57.1%

Maringá - Juventude Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dheimison (G) 14. Buga 3. Carvalho R. 32. Caua 7. Edison Negueba 10. Leo Ceara 99. Maranhao 9. Matheus Moraes 23. Max Miller 8. Rodrigo Santos 13. Tito	1. Gustavo (G) 23. Abner 3. Adriano Martins 97. Enio 7. Erick Farias 2. Ewerthon 8. Giraldo D. 16. Jadson (C) 44. Mandaca 47. Marcos Paulo 98. Vitor Pernambuco
Substitutes
20. Bruno Cheron 30. Danielzinho 31. Fernando 6. Joao Felix 12. Joao Gabriel (G) 34. Jonathan 19. Julio Rodrigues 28. Lucas Bonifacio 15. Parrudo 22. Raphinha 11. Robertinho 21. Vitinho	28. Alan Ruschel 27. Batalla E. 88. Davi Goes 19. Gabriel Taliari 11. Giovanny 20. Jean Carlos 38. Kawan 15. Kelvi Gomes 12. Marcao (G) 10. Nene 93. Reginaldo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Caua ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Enio ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
46', Caua ↓, Robertinho ↑,
52', Abner 🟨,
59', Vitor Pernambuco ↓, Gabriel Taliari ↑,
63', Buga 🟨,
65', Rodrigo Santos 🟨,
66', Mandaca 🟨,
67', 🟨,
67', Erick Farias ↓, Batalla E. ↑,
67', Mandaca ↓, Giovanny ↑,
69', Carvalho R. 🟨,
73', Buga ↓, Vitinho ↑,
73', Matheus Moraes ↓, Raphinha ↑,
73', Leo Ceara ↓, Bruno Cheron ↑,
84', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Maringá is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Juventude is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Juventude will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maringá FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
22.02.25	Maringá - Coritiba	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Operário Ferroviario - Maringá	2:1 ✺
12.02.25	Maringá - Azuriz	3:0 ✺
09.02.25	Maringá - Athletico Paranaense	2:3 ✺
04.02.25	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Maringá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLT
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
22.02.25	Grêmio - Juventude	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	EC Pelotas - Juventude	2:3 ✺
12.02.25	Avenida - Juventude	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Juventude - EC São José Porto Alegre	3:1 ✺
05.02.25	Juventude - Grêmio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWTWW

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