The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marquense 63.5%
Draw 22.5%
Suchitepéquez 14%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.6%
26.7%
20.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52%
27%
21%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marquense's performance.
Suchitepéquez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Suchitepéquez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marquense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suchitepéquez than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Suchitepéquez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Marquense - Suchitepéquez Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gutierrez G. (G) 17. Chuc D. 2. Corado Ruano R. E. 19. Escalante F. 20. Gordillo G. 9. Grande D. 70. Hernandez Y. 24. Lopez C. 12. Ramirez K. G. A. 66. Santos C. 5. Vasquez E.
1. Secaida J. (G) 14. Diaz W. 13. Galindo A. 6. Herrera D. 21. Icute M. 24. Matul J. 99. Montano Cardenas F. A. 17. Rivas M. 3. Silva H. 4. Torres Chavez V. G. 18. Zamorano A.
Substitutes
6. Cano J. 13. Cifuentes J. (G) 30. de L. B. 21. Escobar J. 79. Linton O. 11. Ochaeta D. 99. Rodas M. 18. Sanchez E. 8. Velasquez E.
20. Aguilar K. 27. Artola C. 11. Cabrera N. 22. Cacoj A. M. A. 28. Corena J. 8. de Leon E. 70. de Leon F. 10. Gonzalez F. 25. Madrid C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Grande D. ⚽,
31', Herrera D. 🟨,
38', Corado Ruano R. E. 🟨,
43', Diaz W. 🟥,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Matul J. ↓, Aguilar K. ↑,
54', Galindo A. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
60', Escalante F. ↓, Ochaeta D. ↑,
62', Montano Cardenas F. A. ↓, Madrid C. ↑,
70', Chuc D. 🟨,
71', Grande D. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
73', Icute M. ↓, de Leon E. ↑,
77', Vasquez E. 🟨,
79', 1 - 1, Zamorano A. ⚽,
85', de L. B. 🟨,
86', Hernandez Y. ↓, Velasquez E. ↑,
86', Lopez C. ↓, de L. B. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 1, Sanchez E. ⚽,
90+7', Sanchez E. 🟨,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marquense won 3.
Marquense has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Suchitepéquez has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Marquense could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The betting markets point to Marquense as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Marquense has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:33 (averaging 1.4:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Marquense against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 19:11 goals (averaging 1.9:1.1 per game).
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Gutierrez G. (G) 
Chuc D. 
Grande D. 
Silva H. 
Linton O. 
Corena J. 
Gonzalez F. 
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