Match Info
Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 6Date: 11 April 2026, SaturdayLocation: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)
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Marsa |
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Mtarfa |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.04 |
11 |
20 |
Watch |
 |
1.02 |
14.76 |
21.47 |
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 |
1.04 |
10.74 |
25 |
Watch |
 |
1.04 |
13 |
41 |
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 |
1 |
12.2 |
30 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.03 ↓ (1.04) |
12.34 ↑ (10.6) |
27.49 ↑ (25) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Marsa 89.2% | Draw 7.4% | Mtarfa 3.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Mtarfa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Marsa - Mtarfa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Davi Versiani ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 0, Demanuele N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 63', 3 - 0, Sakyi G. ⚽,
- 70', 4 - 0, Demanuele N. ⚽,
- 82', 5 - 0, Seychell S. ⚽,
Preview
Marsa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).Mtarfa is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). In this match, Marsa is the undisputed favorite.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 1.5:0).Including home matches between the teams, Marsa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Maltese Challenge League | | | 21.09.25 | Mtarfa - Marsa | 0:2 | | 04.01.25 | Mtarfa - Marsa | 0:2 | | 05.03.23 | Marsa - Mtarfa | 0:0 | | 15.12.22 | Marsa - Mtarfa | 2:0 |
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