The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marsaxlokk 48.7%
Draw 26.3%
Valletta 25%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.4%
28%
43.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.3%
27.9%
43.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marsaxlokk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marsaxlokk's performance.
Valletta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valletta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (-20.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marsaxlokk that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (+18.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valletta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Marsaxlokk - Valletta Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Mafoumbi C. (G) 27. Aguirre L. 16. Arias U. 23. Caruana T. 11. Corbalan J. C. 17. Dodo 4. El Hasni O. 19. Kirby J. 25. Minala J. 6. Muscat N. (C) 5. Pepe E.
90. Maringa Adilson (G) 11. Azzopardi J. 28. Brewer S. 33. Mbende E. 99. Meijer S. 44. Micallef N. 10. Paiber B. (C) 19. Tavares D. 77. Thaylor 20. Yankam Y. 50. Yuri
Substitutes
14. Attard E. 1. Calleja Cremona M. (G) 7. Christie-Davies I. 18. Galea N. 8. Ghio J. 20. Karamitsios G. 9. Linden R. 26. Maniscalco M. 28. Mihana R. 21. Vella J. 3. Weder
29. Adebayo A. 1. Archibald J. (G) 4. Borg S. 5. El Nasar E. 80. Formosa C. 13. Frendo L. (G) 31. Melillo T. 98. Mendoza J. 24. Muscat R. 18. Quinones J. E. 8. Zammit A.
Coaches
Potenza V.
Micallef T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Aguirre L. ⚽,
45+2', Pepe E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Minala J. ↓, Mihana R. ↑,
58', Thaylor ↓, Zammit A. ↑,
63', Mafoumbi C. 🟨,
71', Azzopardi J. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
71', Meijer S. ↓, Adebayo A. ↑,
74', El Hasni O. 🟨,
77', Kirby J. ↓, Weder ↑,
82', Yankam Y. ↓, Quinones J. E. ↑,
89', Dodo ↓, Ghio J. ↑,
89', Arias U. ↓, Linden R. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Valletta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Marsaxlokk has had a series of home games.
Valletta could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Marsaxlokk won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).
Malta
Watch
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Mafoumbi C. (G) 
Aguirre L. 
Caruana T. 
Dodo 
El Hasni O. 
Kirby J. 
Minala J. 
Maringa Adilson (G) 
Brewer S. 
Mbende E. 
Meijer S. 
Tavares D. 
Thaylor 
Christie-Davies I. 
Linden R. 
Mihana R. 
Adebayo A. 
Archibald J. (G) 
Mendoza J. 
Potenza V. 
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