The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Municipal Jalapa 22.4%
Draw 25.1%
Managua 52.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
20.7%
25.2%
54.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20%
24.3%
56.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Municipal Jalapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Managua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Jalapa than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Managua than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Municipal Jalapa - Managua Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 9th and 1st in the Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners: Semi - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jalapa won 2.
Jalapa is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Managua is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Managua carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Jalapa has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:40 (averaging 1.1:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Jalapa against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:7 goals (averaging 1.1:0.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Managua FC
14
11
2
1
42:15
27
35
7
Jalapa
14
3
3
8
13:19
-6
12
Last Results with these Odds
Managua - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 54.08%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Nicaragua
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