The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sport Sébaco 44.4%
Draw 27.3%
Municipal Jalapa 28.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.9%
27.6%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
26.3%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Sébaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Municipal Jalapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Sébaco than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Jalapa than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Sport Sébaco - Municipal Jalapa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners: Quarter - finals) and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sport Sébaco won 1.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Recently, Sport Sébaco has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Sport Sébaco is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Sport Sébaco has recorded 9 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:12 (averaging 1.2:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sport Sébaco against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 15:3 goals (averaging 1.7:0.3 per game).