Match Info

Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App
Mexico	DAZN App
Nicaragua	NicaSports
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
Uruguay	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	Sport Sébaco		Municipal Jalapa

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.7	3.6
	1.85	3.35	3.65
	1.9	3	4.38
	1.86	3.44	4.15	Watch
	1.91	3.1	3.6
	1.93	3.45	3.89
	1.88	2.85	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.09)	3.27 ↓ (3.54)	3.94 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Sébaco
48.9%

Draw
27.9%

Municipal Jalapa
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

26.2%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Sébaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Municipal Jalapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Municipal Jalapa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Sport Sébaco - Municipal Jalapa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sport Sébaco (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', 🟥,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sport Sébaco won 2.

Sport Sébaco is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sport Sébaco won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sport Sébaco won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:3. (average 1.9:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sport Sebaco	9	3	2	4	9:17	-8	11
9	Jalapa	10	1	2	7	6:16	-10	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Sébaco
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
31.01.26	Sport Sébaco - Walter Ferretti	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Managua - Sport Sébaco	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Sport Sébaco - Matagalpa	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Diriangén - Sport Sébaco	5:0 ✺
30.11.25	Sport Sébaco - Diriangén	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL
- ART Municipal Jalapa
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
01.02.26	Municipal Jalapa - Real Estelí	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Diriangén - Municipal Jalapa	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Municipal Jalapa - Managua	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Walter Ferretti - Municipal Jalapa	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Real Madriz - Municipal Jalapa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
02.08.25	Municipal Jalapa - Sport Sébaco	1:0
03.11.24	Municipal Jalapa - Sport Sébaco	0:0
25.08.24	Sport Sébaco - Municipal Jalapa	2:1
16.03.24	Sport Sébaco - Municipal Jalapa	1:1
20.01.24	Municipal Jalapa - Sport Sébaco	1:2
29.11.23	Sport Sébaco - Municipal Jalapa	3:0 ET
26.09.23	Municipal Jalapa - Sport Sébaco	1:1

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