Match Info

Date: 4 September 2021, Saturday


	Ventforet Kofu		Kyoto Sanga

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	2	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2
	3.7	3.2	2.02	Watch
	3.6	3.25	1.99
	3.81	3.47	2.07
	3.6	3.2	2
	3.72	3.38	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (3.42)	3.29 ↑ (3.18)	2.02 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ventforet Kofu
25.7%

Draw
28.3%

Kyoto Sanga
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

29.2%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

22%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ventforet Kofu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ventforet Kofu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kyoto Sanga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Ventforet Kofu - Kyoto Sanga Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Kofu will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). Kyoto will win (votes: 15 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 32.1% – 67.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).

Recent matches Kofu is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kyoto is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Kyoto have a series of home games.

Kyoto will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Kofu won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Kofu won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 League
29.08.21	Machida Zelvia - Ventforet Kofu	3:0 ✺
21.08.21	Ventforet Kofu - JEF United Chiba	1:1 ✺
14.08.21	Sagamihara - Ventforet Kofu	2:1 ✺
09.08.21	Ventforet Kofu - Júbilo Iwata	2:2 ✺
17.07.21	Tochigi - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLTW
- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J2 League
28.08.21	Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy	3:1 ✺
22.08.21	Mito HollyHock - Kyoto Sanga	0:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
18.08.21	Kyoto Sanga - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
09.08.21	Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia	2:1 ✺
17.07.21	Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
30.05.21	Kyoto Sanga - Ventforet Kofu	0:0
25.11.20	Kyoto Sanga - Ventforet Kofu	1:1
19.09.20	Ventforet Kofu - Kyoto Sanga	0:0
04.11.19	Kyoto Sanga - Ventforet Kofu	0:1
20.04.19	Ventforet Kofu - Kyoto Sanga	1:0
25.08.18	Kyoto Sanga - Ventforet Kofu	1:1
30.06.18	Ventforet Kofu - Kyoto Sanga	1:1

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