The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kyoto Sanga 43.4%
Draw 29.9%
Tokyo Verdy 26.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.5%
24.9%
21.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.3%
24.5%
21.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kyoto Sanga's form might have worsened.
Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kyoto Sanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tokyo Verdy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.6%
7.7%
7.7%
Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Kyoto (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Kyoto (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
EH -1 - Kyoto (4.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Kyoto Sanga will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%). Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kyoto Sanga will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 10 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Ota G. (G) 2. Fukuda S. 5. Appiah Tawiah H. 50. Suzuki Y. 22. Sugai H. 10. Fukuoka S. 25. Leo Gomes 39. Hirato T. 11. Marco Tulio 9. Rafael Elias 14. Hara T.
1. Matheus Vidotto (G) 6. Miyahara K. 2. Fukazawa D. 3. Taniguchi H. 19. Matsuhashi Y. 16. Hirakawa R. 7. Morita K. 40. Arai Y. 8. Saito K. 14. Fukuda Y. 9. Someno I.
Substitutes
3. Asada S. 21. Kakoi K. (G) 18. Matsuda T. 93. Nagasawa S. 48. Nakano R. 4. Patrick William 44. Sato K. 16. Takeda S. 27. Yamada F.
71. Hirao H. 17. Inami T. 5. Inoue R. 37. Kawasaki S. 25. Kumatoriya I. 20. Meshino S. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 45. Teranuma S. 38. Toyama S.
Coaches
Jo Gwi-Jae
Hiroshi J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Marco Tulio ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
61', Saito K. 🟨,
63', Matsuhashi Y. ↓, Inami T. ↑,
63', Saito K. ↓, Hirao H. ↑,
64', Leo Gomes ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
64', Sugai H. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Rafael Elias ⚽, Hara T. (A),
72', Fukuda Y. ↓, Kumatoriya I. ↑,
72', Someno I. ↓, Teranuma S. ↑,
79', Rafael Elias ↓, Matsuda T. ↑,
79', Appiah Tawiah H. ↓, Asada S. ↑,
80', Arai Y. ↓, Toyama S. ↑,
84', Matsuda T. 🟨,
90+4', Yamada F. 🟨,
90+11', Hirakawa R. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2.
Kyoto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tokyo Verdy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Kyoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Tokyo Verdy has had a series of home games.
Kyoto could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Kyoto: Joao Pedro
(Forearm injury)
Yonemoto T.
(Foot Injury)
There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G.
(Knee Injury)
Yamami H.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.4:0.7).