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Current Win Probability
Club América 76.9%
Draw 15.2%
Mazatlan 7.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.7%
19%
11.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64%
17.5%
12.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Club América's performance.
Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Club América that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
0%
16.7%
Club América - Mazatlan Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Club América will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Cota R. (G) 5. Alvarez K. 3. Reyes I. 29. Juarez R. 26. Borja C. 28. Sanchez E. 6. dos Santos J. (C) 10. Zendejas A. 23. Raphael Veiga 7. Rodriguez B. 33. Salas P.
33. Rodriguez R. (G) 5. Almada F. (C) 19. Merolla L. 4. Diaz J. 21. Santos S. 11. Barcenas Y. 25. Godinez S. 14. Zaleta M. 7. Dudu 17. Ovalle J. 15. Rubio B.
Substitutes
4. Caceres S. 13. Cervantes A. 22. Espinosa Dovat T. N. 20. Gutierrez Torres A. H. 45. Lima 18. Mejia A. 17. Rodrigo Dourado 21. Tapia F. (G) 32. Vazquez M. 19. Zuniga J.
13. Alcaraz Diaz V. A. (G) 9. Arce B. 16. Esquivel J. 90. Fabio Gomes 199. Gonzalez I. 28. Hernandez D. 20. Lainez M. 26. Leyva A. 193. Lopez G. 31. Saavedra Nevarez A. A.
Coaches
Jardine A.
Bueno S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Rodriguez B. (Penalty Awarded),
43', 1 - 0, Raphael Veiga ⚽, Rodriguez B. (A),
44', Diaz J. ↓, Esquivel J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Zaleta M. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
65', Ovalle J. ↓, Arce B. ↑,
65', Rubio B. ↓, Fabio Gomes ↑,
65', Merolla L. 🟨,
74', Godinez S. ↓, Lopez G. ↑,
77', Salas P. ↓, Zuniga J. ↑,
77', Rodriguez B. ↓, Espinosa Dovat T. N. ↑,
77', Zendejas A. ↓, Lima ↑,
80', Santos S. 🟨,
81', 2 - 0, Lima ⚽, Raphael Veiga (A),
85', Raphael Veiga ↓, Cervantes A. ↑,
85', Sanchez E. ↓, Gutierrez Torres A. H. ↑,
90+4', Juarez R. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América won 3.
América has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Mazatlan is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Mazatlan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, América is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in América: Davila V.
(Injury)
Espinoza D.
(Knee Injury)
Malagon L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Violante I.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in América: Martin H.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Mazatlan: Castro C.
(Injury)
Moreno Villegas O. F.
(Injury)
Sierra J.
(Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, América won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 32:9. (average 2.9:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, América won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:3. (average 3.6:0.6).
Mexico
South-america
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Cota R. (G) 
Borja C. 
Zendejas A. 
Raphael Veiga 
Rodriguez B. 
Almada F. (C) 
Barcenas Y. 
Ovalle J. 
Arce B. 
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