Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 11 July 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Cuauhtémoc (Puebla)

Referee: Chavez M. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Guatemala	Azteca Guatemala
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Fox Sports, FOX Sports Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	TUDN App, TUDN


	Puebla		Atlas

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.65
	2.38	3.15	2.98	Watch
	2.48	3.28	3.08
				Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.62
	2.44	3.09	3.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.63)	3.19 ↓ (3.25)	2.92 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puebla
38.2%

Draw
29.6%

Atlas
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

29.2%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Puebla - Atlas Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Puebla will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Atlas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Atlas (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlas (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez J. (G) 20. Pachuca Martinez J. R. (C) 14. Rivas J. 3. Rey L. 2. Fedorco J. 21. Gonzalez O. 8. Ramirez M. 15. Guerra E. 17. Lozano E. 25. Portales W. 24. Organista A.	14. Ramos C. (G) 3. Gustavo Ferrareis 17. Lozano J. 11. Gonzalez D. 4. Mora A. 26. Rocha A. (C) 13. Aguirre G. 27. Rios De Alba V. H. 32. Djurdjevic U. 19. Aguirre E. 199. Blancas S.
Substitutes
9. Cavallini L. 206. Cortes J. 18. Gamarra P. 11. Gomez E. 19. Marin R. 7. Monarrez F. 12. Moreno I. 5. Moyano F. 4. Orona E. 33. Rodriguez J. (G)	183. Blanco L. 7. Coccaro M. 10. del Prete G. 203. Martin J. 23. Orrantia C. 44. Pier R. 16. Ramirez A. 22. Sanchez A. (G) 218. San Martin J. 192. Serrato J.
Coaches
Guede P.	Pineda G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Aguirre G. ⚽, Gonzalez D. (A),
26', Fedorco J. 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Lozano E. ⚽, Guerra E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', Lozano J. 🟨,
51', 1 - 2, Lozano J. ⚽,
56', Djurdjevic U. 🟨,
58', Organista A. 🟨,
62', Ramirez M. ↓, Moyano F. ↑,
62', Rey L. ↓, Gamarra P. ↑,
68', Portales W. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
68', Fedorco J. ↓, Orona E. ↑,
69', Aguirre E. ↓, Serrato J. ↑,
71', 1 - 3, Mora A. ⚽, Gonzalez D. (A),
75', Blancas S. ↓, Orrantia C. ↑,
76', 🟨,
82', Organista A. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
85', 2 - 3, Guerra E. ⚽,
87', Djurdjevic U. ↓, Coccaro M. ↑,
87', Gonzalez D. ↓, del Prete G. ↑,
87', Mora A. ↓, San Martin J. ↑,
88', Moyano F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 1.

Puebla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Atlas: Manotas M. (Knee Injury) Matheus Doria (Yellow Cards) Zaldivar E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Puebla: Cavallini L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Atlas: Vargas C. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Puebla won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.9:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puebla FC
Club Friendly
02.07.25	Club América - Puebla	2:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
18.04.25	Puebla - Necaxa	0:1 ✺
15.04.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Club León - Puebla	1:0 ✺
04.04.25	Puebla - Tigres UANL	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLLT
- Club Atlas
Mexican Liga MX
19.04.25	Atlas - Chivas Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
16.04.25	Querétaro - Atlas	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Atlas - Toluca	2:3 ✺
05.04.25	Atlas - Juárez	1:1 ✺
28.03.25	Mazatlan - Atlas	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
15.02.25	Atlas - Puebla	3:2
19.07.24	Puebla - Atlas	1:2
08.03.24	Puebla - Atlas	2:2
28.09.23	Atlas - Puebla	2:3
17.03.23	Puebla - Atlas	0:4
20.08.22	Atlas - Puebla	1:1
11.02.22	Puebla - Atlas	1:1

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