Match Info

A-League - Round 6

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Central Coast Stadium (Gosford)

Referee: Reibelt C. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
New-zealand	Sky Sport 5, Sky Sport 9
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Central Coast Mariners		Melbourne City

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.66	Watch
	4.45	3.7	1.72	Watch
	4.75	3.89	1.78
	4.29	3.90	1.76	Watch
	4.89	3.91	1.75	Watch
	4.75	3.8	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.65 ↑ (4.14)	3.83 ↑ (3.6)	1.73 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Coast Mariners
20.4%

Draw
24.7%

Melbourne City
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

25.9%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Melbourne City (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Melbourne City will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Melbourne City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Redmayne A. (G) 15. Roux S. 2. Donachie J. 3. Paull N. (C) 5. Mauragis L. 11. James Ngor S. 8. McCalmont A. 26. Tapp B. 22. De Lima A. 9. Edmondson R. 10. Di Pizio M.	1. Beach P. (G) 44. Kutleshi B. 22. Ferreyra G. 26. Souprayen S. 16. Behich A. (C) 27. Trewin K. 19. Schreiber Z. 47. Rahmani K. 15. Nabbout A. 17. Caputo M. 10. Kanamori T.
Substitutes
37. Brandtman B. 14. Duarte N. 21. Faisal A. 41. Mutokoyi S. 40. Peraic-Cullen D. (G) 16. Steele H. 7. Theoharous C.	37. Antoniou P. 4. Bonetig L. 39. Durakovic E. 30. Kuen A. 35. Memeti M. 33. Ochsenham D. (G) 36. Shillington H.
Coaches
Moon W.	Vidmar A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Kutleshi B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', James Ngor S. ↓, Brandtman B. ↑,
48', Caputo M. 🟨,
60', Rahmani K. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
60', Caputo M. ↓, Memeti M. ↑,
60', Schreiber Z. ↓, Kuen A. ↑,
67', De Lima A. ↓, Theoharous C. ↑,
68', Edmondson R. ↓, Duarte N. ↑,
69', Souprayen S. ↓, Bonetig L. ↑,
72', Paull N. ↓, Steele H. ↑,
77', Kutleshi B. ↓, Shillington H. ↑,
78', Di Pizio M. ↓, Faisal A. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 2.

Central Coast has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Melbourne City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Melbourne City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Melbourne City has had a series of away games.

In this match, Melbourne City is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Central Coast: Eames H. (Injury) Herrington D. (Injury) Peraic-Cullen D. (Inactive) Sainsbury T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Melbourne City: Leckie M. (Hamstring Injury) Lopane A. (Ankle Injury) Nieuwenhuizen J. (Knee Injury) Rashani E. (Hamstring Injury) Wong L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Melbourne City: Atkinson N. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 29:38. (average 1.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Central Coast won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.7:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Melbourne City - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.62%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League
22.11.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Central Coast Mariners	3:2 ✺
07.11.25	Perth Glory - Central Coast Mariners	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Sydney - Central Coast Mariners	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWTLW
- Melbourne City
AFC Champions League
25.11.25	Melbourne City - Johor Darul Takzim	2:0 ✺
Australian A-League
21.11.25	Adelaide United - Melbourne City	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	0:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
04.11.25	Machida Zelvia - Melbourne City	1:2 ✺
Australian A-League
31.10.25	Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
05.04.25	Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners	1:0
31.12.24	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City	1:1
02.04.24	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City	2:1
21.01.24	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City	2:1
17.12.23	Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners	3:3
03.06.23	Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners	1:6
15.04.23	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City	1:1

Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide