Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 10 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Seoul World Cup Stadium (Seoul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Pakistan	Tapmad
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	FC Seoul		Melbourne City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.92	3.4	3.65	Watch
	1.91	3.55	4.02
	1.92	3.58	3.81	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.9
	1.92	3.52	4.15	Watch
	1.94	3.5	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.74)	3.48 ↓ (3.88)	3.89 ↓ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Seoul
48.9%

Draw
27%

Melbourne City
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

24.1%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

24.7%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Seoul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Seoul than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FC Seoul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

FC Seoul - Melbourne City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Seoul (2.20) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.5 - Melbourne City (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: FC Seoul will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): FC Seoul will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Seoul (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Melbourne City (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Choi Chul-Won (G) 63. Park Soo-Il 40. Park Seong-Hoon 5. Al Arab Y. 22. Kim Jin-Su 7. Jeong Seung-Won 41. Hwang Do-Yun 8. Lee Seung-Mo 77. Lucas Silva 11. Cheon Seong-Hoon 10. Lingard J. (C)	1. Beach P. (G) 30. Kuen A. 22. Ferreyra G. 13. Atkinson N. 16. Behich A. (C) 39. Durakovic E. 27. Trewin K. 19. Schreiber Z. 11. Rashani E. 17. Caputo M. 47. Rahmani K.
Substitutes
70. Anderson Oliveira 33. Bae Hyun-Seo 16. Choi Jun 9. Cho Young-Wook 18. Jeong Tae-Wook 36. Kim J. 72. Min Ji-Hoon 27. Moon Seon-Min 88. Park Jang Han-Gyeol 29. Ryu Jae-Moon 28. Samuel G. 71. Yun Ki-Wook (G)	37. Antoniou P. 38. Baker B. 4. Bonetig L. 45. Kalms R. 10. Kanamori T. 53. Mackintosh A. 20. Mazzeo B. 35. Memeti M. 34. Necovski J. 33. Ochsenham D. (G) 36. Shillington H.
Coaches
Kim Gi-Dong	Vidmar A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Hwang Do-Yun 🟨,
30', Choi Jun 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Lingard J. ⚽, Choi Jun (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Rashani E. 🟨,
57', Kim Jin-Su 🟨,
58', Lucas Silva ↓, Anderson Oliveira ↑,
66', Jeong Seung-Won ↓, Moon Seon-Min ↑,
66', Cheon Seong-Hoon ↓, Cho Young-Wook ↑,
69', Atkinson N. ↓, Antoniou P. ↑,
69', Rashani E. ↓, Kanamori T. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Kanamori T. ⚽, Rahmani K. (A),
76', Al Arab Y. 🟨,
80', Caputo M. ↓, Memeti M. ↑,
80', Durakovic E. ↓, Bonetig L. ↑,
83', Kuen A. ↓, Mazzeo B. ↑,
87', Lee Seung-Mo ↓, Ryu Jae-Moon ↑,
88', Lingard J. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In recent matches, Seoul has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Melbourne City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Melbourne City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Melbourne City has had a series of away games.

In this match, Seoul is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Seoul
South Korean K-League 1
30.11.25	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - FC Seoul	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
25.11.25	Shanghai Port - FC Seoul	1:3 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
22.11.25	FC Seoul - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Pohang Steelers - FC Seoul	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
04.11.25	FC Seoul - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLTT
- Melbourne City
Australian A-League
06.12.25	Newcastle Jets - Melbourne City	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
25.11.25	Melbourne City - Johor Darul Takzim	2:0 ✺
Australian A-League
21.11.25	Adelaide United - Melbourne City	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWLW

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