Match Info

A-League - Round 5

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: McDonald Jones Stadium (Newcastle)

Referee: Shakespear N. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	SPOTV 2 Asia
Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	Vision+
Indonesia	SPOTV 2, Vidio
Malaysia	Astro Go, SPOTV 2
Mongolia	SPOTV 2
Philippines	SPOTV 2
Singapore	SPOTV 2
Thailand	SPOTV 2
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 8
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	SPOTV 2


	Newcastle Jets		Perth Glory

	1	X	2
	1.86	4.5	3.2	Watch
	1.82	4.25	3.45	Watch
	1.92	4.41	3.41
	1.95	3.98	3.34	Watch
	1.9	4.62	3.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.88)	4.35 ↑ (4.32)	3.37 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle Jets
50.1%

Draw
21.8%

Perth Glory
28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

19.8%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Newcastle Jets have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Perth Glory have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Newcastle Jets - Perth Glory Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Perth will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delianov J. (G) 42. Cooper M. 22. Bertolissio J. 15. Susnjar A. 23. Wilmering D. 17. Grozos K. (C) 28. Dobson W. 14. Burgess M. 19. Badolato A. 43. Bertoncello X. 9. Rose L.	29. Sutton M. (C) 24. Lebib A. 4. Wootton S. 45. Kaltack B. 2. Shamoon C. A. 25. Despotovski S. 8. Timmins C. 18. Bozinovski R. 11. Wales L. 9. Kucharski J. 34. Lawrence T.
Substitutes
39. Aquilina T. 8. Bayliss L. 11. Gibson B. 20. Nassiep A. (G) 33. Natta M. 24. Nunes A. 13. Taylor C.	21. Bugarija A. 5. Foxe R. 27. Freney W. 20. Ostler T. 7. Pennington N. 22. Taggart A. 40. Warner R. (G)
Coaches
Milligan M.	Griffiths A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Bertoncello X. ⚽, Badolato A. (A),
25', Timmins C. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Lawrence T. ⚽, Bozinovski R. (A),
43', Despotovski S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Timmins C. ↓, Freney W. ↑,
53', Lawrence T. 🟨,
54', Lawrence T. ↓, Taggart A. ↑,
54', Lebib A. ↓, Ostler T. ↑,
54', Bertoncello X. ↓, Taylor C. ↑,
67', Rose L. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
74', Wales L. ↓, Pennington N. ↑,
76', Wootton S. 🟨,
79', 1 - 2, Pennington N. (Pen),
82', Badolato A. 🟨,
82', Dobson W. ↓, Nunes A. ↑,
83', Badolato A. ↓, Bayliss L. ↑,
83', Bertolissio J. ↓, Aquilina T. ↑,
90+6', Kucharski J. ↓, Foxe R. ↑,
90+7', Sutton M. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.

In recent matches, Newcastle has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Perth has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Perth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Newcastle will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Newcastle: Adams E. (Ankle Injury) Fryer O. (Knee Injury) James N. (Knee Injury) Mizunuma K. (Hamstring Injury) Nassiep A. (Inactive) Scicluna L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Perth: Amos L. (Injury) Anasmo J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Birighitti M. (Surgery) Cook C. (Knee Injury) Kucharski J. (Injury) Lawrence T. (Concussion) Lisolajski Z. (Hamstring Injury) Ostler T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Perth: Freney W. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:31. (average 1.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:13. (average 2.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League
09.11.25	Brisbane Roar - Newcastle Jets	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Newcastle Jets - Sydney	1:4 ✺
24.10.25	Newcastle Jets - Melbourne Victory	5:2 ✺
19.10.25	Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets	3:2 ✺
Australian Cup
04.10.25	Heidelberg United - Newcastle Jets	1:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWLW
- Perth Glory
Australian A-League
07.11.25	Perth Glory - Central Coast Mariners	0:1 ✺
31.10.25	Perth Glory - Melbourne Victory	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Melbourne City - Perth Glory	4:0 ✺
18.10.25	Perth Glory - Wellington Phoenix	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
24.09.25	Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
25.01.25	Newcastle Jets - Perth Glory	2:2
14.12.24	Perth Glory - Newcastle Jets	0:4
09.03.24	Perth Glory - Newcastle Jets	2:2
16.12.23	Newcastle Jets - Perth Glory	2:2
22.10.23	Perth Glory - Newcastle Jets	2:2
18.03.23	Newcastle Jets - Perth Glory	2:2
04.02.23	Perth Glory - Newcastle Jets	2:2

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