The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newcastle Jets 30.3%
Draw 24.2%
Melbourne City 45.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.5%
24.9%
48.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.3%
24.7%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80.6%
0%
19.4%
Newcastle Jets - Melbourne City Predictions
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 25 - 80.6%). Melbourne City will win (votes: 6 - 19.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 66.7% โ 94.5%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Newcastle (5.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Newcastle (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Newcastle (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
EH +1 - Newcastle (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Newcastle Jets will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Melbourne City (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Delianov J. (G) 22. Bertolissio J. 42. Cooper M. 33. Natta M. 23. Wilmering D. 14. Burgess M. 17. Grozos K. (C) 19. Badolato A. 43. Bertoncello X. 9. Rose L. 28. Dobson W.
1. Beach P. (G) 36. Shillington H. 22. Ferreyra G. 4. Bonetig L. 16. Behich A. (C) 35. Memeti M. 27. Trewin K. 10. Kanamori T. 30. Kuen A. 47. Rahmani K. 17. Caputo M.
Substitutes
7. Adams E. 39. Aquilina T. 40. Baylis J. (G) 8. Bayliss L. 11. Gibson B. 5. Shaughnessy J. 13. Taylor C.
37. Antoniou P. 13. Atkinson N. 39. Durakovic E. 20. Mazzeo B. 33. Ochsenham D. (G) 11. Rashani E. 19. Schreiber Z.
Coaches
Milligan M.
Vidmar A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Rahmani K. ⚽, Kuen A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bertoncello X. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
54', Memeti M. ↓, Schreiber Z. ↑,
68', Dobson W. ↓, Taylor C. ↑,
69', Bonetig L. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
69', Kanamori T. ↓, Rashani E. ↑,
78', Shillington H. ↓, Atkinson N. ↑,
78', Caputo M. ↓, Mazzeo B. ↑,
79', Badolato A. 🟨,
82', Rose L. ↓, Bayliss L. ↑,
87', Burgess M. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
90+3', Rahmani K. 🟨,
90+6', Atkinson N. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.
Newcastle has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Melbourne City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Recently, Melbourne City has had a series of away games.
Melbourne City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Newcastle: Bracco C.
(Inactive)
Fryer O.
(Knee Injury)
James N.
(Knee Injury)
Mizunuma K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nassiep A.
(Inactive)
Nkomo R.
(Inactive)
Scicluna L.
(Inactive)
Van Dorssen B.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Melbourne City: Atkinson N.
(Muscle Injury)
Leckie M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lopane A.
(Ankle Injury)
Nieuwenhuizen J.
(Knee Injury)
Rashani E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wong L.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:35. (average 0.9:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.1:1.9).
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Delianov J. (G) 
Ferreyra G. 
Kanamori T. 
Kuen A. 
Shaughnessy J. 
Rashani E. 
