Match Info

MALTA: Premier League - Round 10

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Melita		Mosta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.2	1.98
	3.35	3.25	2.03	Watch
	3.05	3.15	1.98
	3.52	3.32	1.99	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2
	3.43	3.15	2.04
	3.35	3.25	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.92)	3.2 ↓ (3.25)	2.01 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melita
26.9%

Draw
28.2%

Mosta
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

28.2%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

26.2%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Mosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melita than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melita, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mosta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Melita - Mosta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mizzi G. (G) 9. Andre Carlos 6. Attard J. P. 4. Barone G. 26. Bondin K. 5. Cachia M. 7. Mohnani K. 21. Nick Cutajar 13. Van de Bovenkamp M. 14. Xuereb D. 19. Yepez J.	22. Udoh A. (G) 4. Afriyie P. 21. Agius 23. Agyemang J. 5. Cachia S. 6. Coulibaly L. 13. Failla C. 31. Joao Teixeira 9. Kone S. 96. Leo Fernandes 30. Okereke C.
Substitutes
8. Attard A. 18. Attard E. 15. Barragan J. 11. Borg O. A. 20. Cassar B. 10. Debattista M. 2. Legault W. 12. Lubik A. (G) 22. Messina A. 29. Motta H. 23. Testaferrata P. G.	11. Aderibigbe P. 2. Agius A. 77. Brincat Z. 8. Cipriott S. 14. Cutajar M. 33. Farrugia B. 99. Farrugia J. (G) 10. Giancarlo 26. Matheus Cambuci 1. Mintoff S. (G) 15. Portelli A.
Coaches
Mizzi C.	Grech J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Okereke C. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Andre Carlos ⚽,
25', Cachia M. 🟨,
35', Agius 🟨,
39', 1 - 2, Agius ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kone S. ↓, Matheus Cambuci ↑,
59', Xuereb D. ↓, Debattista M. ↑,
59', Nick Cutajar ↓, Attard E. ↑,
72', Barone G. 🟨,
75', Agius ↓, Cipriott S. ↑,
78', Attard J. P. ↓, Cassar B. ↑,
81', Joao Teixeira 🟨,
86', Okereke C. ↓, Aderibigbe P. ↑,
88', Van de Bovenkamp M. 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melita FC
Maltese Premier League
25.10.24	Paola Hibernians - Melita	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Melita - Balzan	2:0 ✺
03.10.24	Naxxar Lions - Melita	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Sliema Wanderers - Melita	2:2 ✺
23.09.24	Melita - Birkirkara	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 LWTTL
- Mosta FC
Maltese Premier League
27.10.24	Mosta - Żabbar St. Patrick	4:2 ✺
19.10.24	Mosta - Paola Hibernians	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
11.10.24	Mosta - Floriana	1:2 ✺
Maltese Premier League
03.10.24	Mosta - Floriana	0:2 ✺
29.09.24	Mosta - Birkirkara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese FA Trophy
15.01.23	Melita - Mosta	0:3

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