Match Info

Date: 5 October 2022, Wednesday

Location: AutoZone Park (Memphis)

Referee: Giusti G. (Usa)


	Memphis 901		Rio Grande Valley

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.5	Watch
	1.89	3.7	3.4
	1.86	3.55	3.3
	1.7	4.04	4.47
	1.73	3.8	3.88	Watch
	1.9	3.7	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.05)	3.73 ↑ (3.54)	3.66 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Memphis 901
50.5%

Draw
24.5%

Rio Grande Valley
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

25.9%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

26.8%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Memphis 901 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Memphis 901's performance.

Rio Grande Valley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Memphis 901 than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	17.6%	11.8%

Memphis 901 - Rio Grande Valley Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Memphis will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Rio Grande Valley will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Memphis: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Memphis has the most likely position - 2 (54.9%), has project points - 66, has currently - 61, was already of playoffs, has a good chance of qtrs (68%), has a chance of semis (34%), has a small chance of final (15%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 6 (27.09%), has project points - 47, has currently - 42, has a good chance of playoffs (74%), has a chance of qtrs (33%), has a small chance of semis (13%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has small quality 22, small importance 24, small match rating 23. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Recently Memphis have a series of guest games.

Memphis will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Memphis 901
USL Championship
01.10.22	Miami - Memphis 901	1:0 ✺
23.09.22	Louisville City - Memphis 901	1:2 ✺
16.09.22	Memphis 901 - Charleston Battery	5:0 ✺
07.09.22	Atlanta United II - Memphis 901	0:4 ✺
03.09.22	Orange County SC - Memphis 901	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWWT
- Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
USL Championship
01.10.22	Rio Grande Valley - Louisville City	0:1 ✺
23.09.22	Charleston Battery - Rio Grande Valley	0:3 ✺
17.09.22	Rio Grande Valley - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Rio Grande Valley - New Mexico United	3:1 ✺
07.09.22	El Paso Locomotive - Rio Grande Valley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWWW

Memphis 901 - Rio Grande Valley: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide