Match Info

GEORGIA: CRYSTALBET EROVNULI LIGA 2 - ROUND 32

Date: 2 December 2022, Friday


	Merani Tbilisi		Samtredia

	1	X	2
	10	5.4	1.19
	6.32	4.92	1.25
	9.1	5.45	1.24
	9.6	5.6	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.76 ↑ (3.98)	5.34 ↑ (3.55)	1.22 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merani Tbilisi
10.2%

Draw
16.7%

Samtredia
73.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

25.1%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

24.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merani Tbilisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Merani Tbilisi's form might have worsened.

Samtredia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samtredia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merani Tbilisi than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Merani Tbilisi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samtredia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.2%	4.2%	66.7%

Merani Tbilisi - Samtredia Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Merani Tbilisi will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Samtredia will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samtredia: 47.8% – 85.6%.

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Preview

Merani Tbilisi has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Samtredia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Samtredia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Merani Tbilisi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Merani Tbilisi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merani Tbilisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
27.11.22	Spaeri - Merani Tbilisi	4:2 ✺
12.11.22	Gareji Sagarejo - Merani Tbilisi	2:1 ✺
05.11.22	Merani Tbilisi - Merani Martvili	2:2 ✺
30.10.22	Shukura Kobuleti - Merani Tbilisi	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Merani Tbilisi - Rustavi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTLL
- FC Samtredia
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
27.11.22	Samtredia - Merani Martvili	1:0 ✺
13.11.22	Shukura Kobuleti - Samtredia	3:0 ✺
06.11.22	Samtredia - Rustavi	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	WIT Georgia - Samtredia	1:4 ✺
23.10.22	Samtredia - Gareji Sagarejo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
09.10.22	Samtredia - Merani Tbilisi	4:1
26.06.22	Samtredia - Merani Tbilisi	6:0
21.04.22	Merani Tbilisi - Samtredia	1:0
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
04.11.20	Samtredia - Merani Tbilisi	2:0
17.07.20	Merani Tbilisi - Samtredia	1:2

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