Match Info

National League North - Round 11

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday


	Merthyr Town		South Shields

	1	X	2
	3	4	1.91
	3.1	3.85	1.98
	3.32	3.86	1.98
	3.66	4.28	1.75	Watch
	3.26	3.68	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.86)	3.93 ↓ (4.01)	1.91 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merthyr Town
28.2%

Draw
23.4%

South Shields
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

22.8%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

22.1%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

South Shields has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Shields might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Shields than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Merthyr Town - South Shields Predictions

Users Predictions: South Shields will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): South Shields will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Cox C. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Rees R. (Pen),
45', 2 - 1, Woolston L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+8', 3 - 1, Jarvis C. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Merthyr is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

South Shields has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

South Shields will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merthyr Town
English National League North
08.11.25	Bedford Town - Merthyr Town	3:4 ✺
04.11.25	AFC Telford United - Merthyr Town	2:4 ✺
01.11.25	Merthyr Town - Darlington	3:1 ✺
25.10.25	Chorley - Merthyr Town	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Merthyr Town - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 WWWWL
- South Shields FC
English National League North
08.11.25	South Shields - King`s Lynn Town	1:1 ✺
05.11.25	Fylde - South Shields	2:4 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.25	South Shields - Shrewsbury Town	1:3 ✺
English National League North
25.10.25	Macclesfield Town - South Shields	1:0 ✺
21.10.25	South Shields - Scarborough Athletic	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWLLW

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