Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 41

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday


	Truro City		Metropolitan Police

	1	X	2
	1.51	4	4.8
	1.54	4.3	5.27
	1.54	4.05	5.25
	1.47	4.33	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.5)	4.17 ↓ (4.28)	5.21 ↓ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
60.4%

Draw
22%

Metropolitan Police
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

21.4%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

20.4%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Metropolitan Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitan Police than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Truro City - Metropolitan Police Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs: ) and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Truro won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Truro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Truro have a series of guest games.

In this match Truro is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Truro won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Truro won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English Southern League South Division
10.04.23	Truro City - Plymouth Parkway	1:3 ✺
07.04.23	Harrow Borough - Truro City	1:4 ✺
01.04.23	Beaconsfield Town - Truro City	3:2 ✺
18.03.23	Bracknell Town - Truro City	0:3 ✺
11.03.23	Merthyr Town - Truro City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL
- Metropolitan Police
English Southern League South Division
10.04.23	Metropolitan Police - Harrow Borough	1:3 ✺
08.04.23	Yate Town - Metropolitan Police	2:1 ✺
06.04.23	Bracknell Town - Metropolitan Police	3:2 ✺
25.03.23	Metropolitan Police - Chesham United	1:0 ✺
21.03.23	Metropolitan Police - Swindon Supermarine	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
12.11.22	Metropolitan Police - Truro City	1:2
19.03.22	Metropolitan Police - Truro City	0:0
08.02.22	Truro City - Metropolitan Police	1:0
04.01.20	Truro City - Metropolitan Police	4:0
10.08.19	Metropolitan Police - Truro City	0:2

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