Match Info

Date: 11 May 2021, Tuesday


	Metropolitanos		Athletico Paranaense

	1	X	2
	7	3.8	1.45	Watch
	6.75	3.5	1.5
	7	3.5	1.48	Watch
	6.4	3.75	1.47
	8.12	3.9	1.49
	8	3.8	1.47	Watch
	6.6	4.2	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.12 ↓ (7.25)	3.78 ↑ (3.4)	1.47 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metropolitanos
12.9%

Draw
24.4%

Athletico Paranaense
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.7%

27.1%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.5%

22.5%

72.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metropolitanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletico Paranaense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Metropolitanos - Athletico Paranaense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Metropolitanos is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Athletico PR is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Athletico PR could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Athletico PR is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Metropolitanos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metropolitanos FC
Copa Sudamericana
04.05.21	Metropolitanos - SD Aucas	3:2 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
01.05.21	Metropolitanos - Caracas	1:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.21	Athletico Paranaense - Metropolitanos	1:0 ✺
20.04.21	Metropolitanos - FBC Melgar	2:3 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
16.04.21	Atlético Venezuela - Metropolitanos	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLL
- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
09.05.21	Athletico Paranaense - Maringá	2:2 ✺
06.05.21	Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.05.21	FBC Melgar - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
03.05.21	Azuriz - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
30.04.21	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Athletico Paranaense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
28.04.21	Athletico Paranaense - Metropolitanos	1:0

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