Match Info

Date: 30 November 2020, Monday


	Metropolitanos		Gran Valencia

	1	X	2
	1.16	6	13
	1.3	4.4	8
	1.32	3.73	8.31
	1.33	4.33	8
	1.09	9.7	19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.69)	5.63 ↑ (3.5)	11.26 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metropolitanos
75.2%

Draw
16.6%

Gran Valencia
8.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.9%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

20.7%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metropolitanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metropolitanos's performance.

Gran Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gran Valencia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metropolitanos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Valencia than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gran Valencia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Metropolitanos - Gran Valencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 5 and 8).

Metropolitanos is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gran Valencia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Metropolitanos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Metropolitanos is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Metropolitanos won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Metropolitanos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metropolitanos FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
27.11.20	Portuguesa - Metropolitanos	0:3 ✺
22.11.20	Metropolitanos - Deportivo Táchira	0:3 ✺
19.11.20	Aragua - Metropolitanos	0:1 ✺
15.11.20	Monagas - Metropolitanos	1:2 ✺
12.11.20	Metropolitanos - Zamora	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLWWT
- Gran Valencia FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
27.11.20	Gran Valencia - Aragua	0:2 ✺
23.11.20	Caracas - Gran Valencia	6:2 ✺
20.11.20	Gran Valencia - Portuguesa	0:1 ✺
16.11.20	Deportivo Táchira - Gran Valencia	0:0 ✺
13.11.20	Gran Valencia - Monagas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
06.11.20	Gran Valencia - Metropolitanos	1:1
22.02.20	Metropolitanos - Gran Valencia	2:1

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