Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 25

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Licorne (Amiens)

Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Amiens		Metz

	1	X	2
	5	3.7	1.67	Watch
	4.8	3.4	1.67
	5.41	3.75	1.69
	5.15	3.74	1.66	Watch
	5	3.6	1.67
	5.15	3.78	1.69	Watch
	4.8	3.4	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.04 ↓ (5.44)	3.62 ↓ (3.66)	1.67 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 3

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Current Win Probability

Amiens
18.5%

Draw
25.8%

Metz
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.1%

25.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

25%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	8.3%	75%

Amiens - Metz Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Amiens will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Metz will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Metz: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gurtner R. (C) 19. Vita R. 6. Ait Boudlal A. 13. Jaouab M. 14. Corchia S. 8. Lobry V. 20. Kaiboue K. 45. Fofana I. 7. Leautey A. 10. Kandil N. 9. Mafouta L.	29. Bodart A. (G) 39. Kouao K. 38. Sane S. 4. Mboula U. 3. Udol M. (C) 7. Hein G. 21. Stambouli B. 20. Deminguet J. 10. Diallo P. A. 18. Gueye I. 14. Sabaly C.
Substitutes
34. Bakayoko S. 27. Lutin R. 18. Manitu M. 37. Monconduit T. 51. Rafii Y. 16. Sauvage A. (G) 78. Tincres J.	99. Asoro J. 19. Bokele Mputu M. 2. Colin M. 36. Jallow A. 16. Oukidja A. (G) 12. Toure A. 22. Van Den Kerkhof K.
Coaches
Daf O.	Le Mignan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Kouao K. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Fofana I. ⚽, Leautey A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', Diallo P. A. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
68', Kandil N. ↓, Lutin R. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Stambouli B. ⚽,
83', Gueye I. ↓, Van Den Kerkhof K. ↑,
84', Stambouli B. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
84', Kouao K. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Hein G. ⚽, Bokele Mputu M. (A),
90+3', Leautey A. ↓, Tincres J. ↑,
90+3', Corchia S. ↓, Rafii Y. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Amiens won 0.

Amiens is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Metz is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Metz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Metz is a favorite.

There will not play in Amiens: Manitu M. (Injury) Monconduit T. (Leg Injury) Tine M. (Injury)

There will not play in Metz: Lo A. (Injury) Mangondo J. (Injury) Sy P. (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Amiens won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14:18 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Amiens won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:6 (average 0.6:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
21.02.25	Rodez - Amiens	1:1 ✺
14.02.25	Amiens - Grenoble	1:4 ✺
08.02.25	Lorient - Amiens	3:1 ✺
31.01.25	Amiens - Annecy	1:0 ✺
24.01.25	Martigues - Amiens	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLLWL
- FC Metz
French Ligue 2
22.02.25	Metz - Ajaccio	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Guingamp - Metz	0:3 ✺
08.02.25	Metz - Clermont	3:1 ✺
31.01.25	Bastia - Metz	1:1 ✺
24.01.25	Metz - Grenoble	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
05.10.24	Metz - Amiens	3:2
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Amiens - Metz	0:0
French Ligue 2
06.02.23	Amiens - Metz	0:2
30.07.22	Metz - Amiens	3:0
Coupe De France
10.02.21	Amiens - Metz	1:2
French Ligue 1
29.02.20	Amiens - Metz	0:1
21.09.19	Metz - Amiens	1:2

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