Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 13

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz)

Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Mexico	Caliente TV
Montenegro	Arena Sport 3
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	beIN Connect
World	Fanatiz


	Metz		Caen

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.9	5.25	Watch
	1.63	3.9	5
	1.65	3.75	5
	1.65	3.96	5.34
	1.64	3.95	4.98	Watch
	1.62	3.8	5
	1.66	4	4.99	Watch
	1.65	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.77)	3.88 ↑ (3.69)	5.07 ↑ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN La Liga

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Metz
57.2%

Draw
24.3%

Caen
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

25.5%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

25.3%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	5%	10%

Metz - Caen Predictions

Users Predictions: Metz will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Oukidja A. (G) 2. Colin M. 38. Sane S. 8. Traore I. 3. Udol M. (C) 36. Jallow A. 21. Stambouli B. 20. Deminguet J. 19. Bokele Mputu M. 14. Sabaly C. 7. Hein G.	16. Clementia Y. (G) 3. Bolumbu D. 61. Traore B. 29. Thomas R. (C) 28. Lecoeuche Q. 77. Gaucho Debohi D. 20. Lebreton N. 10. Brahimi B. 14. Rajot L. 8. Le Bihan M. 19. Mendy A.
Substitutes
99. Asoro J. 5. Cande F. 31. Elisor S. 15. Lo A. 1. Pause L. (G) 12. Toure A. 22. Van Den Kerkhof K.	23. Autret M. 7. Gomis T. 17. Kyeremeh G. 1. Mandrea A. (G) 27. Meddah D. 6. Tome G. 36. Verhaeghe R.
Coaches
Le Mignan S.	Seube N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Colin M. ↓, Van Den Kerkhof K. ↑,
18', Udol M. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Hein G. ⚽, Jallow A. (A),
45+1', Traore I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Van Den Kerkhof K. 🟨,
64', Rajot L. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
64', Le Bihan M. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
65', Stambouli B. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
81', Bokele Mputu M. ↓, Asoro J. ↑,
82', Deminguet J. ↓, Lo A. ↑,
82', Sabaly C. ↓, Elisor S. ↑,
82', Lebreton N. ↓, Autret M. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metz won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Metz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Metz is a favorite.

There will not play in Caen: M'Vila Y. (Injury) Sy L. (Knee Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Metz won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:16 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Metz won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.7:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
French Ligue 2
04.11.24	Ajaccio - Metz	0:1 ✺
29.10.24	Red Star - Metz	1:0 ✺
25.10.24	Metz - Guingamp	1:0 ✺
18.10.24	Grenoble - Metz	2:0 ✺
05.10.24	Metz - Amiens	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLW
- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
02.11.24	Caen - Bastia	2:0 ✺
29.10.24	Martigues - Caen	0:3 ✺
26.10.24	Caen - Troyes	0:1 ✺
18.10.24	Red Star - Caen	2:2 ✺
05.10.24	Caen - Lorient	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
13.02.23	Metz - Caen	0:0
08.08.22	Caen - Metz	1:0
French Ligue 1
21.04.18	Metz - Caen	1:1
Coupe De France
07.02.18	Metz - Caen	2:3 penalties
French Ligue 1
26.08.17	Caen - Metz	1:0
15.04.17	Metz - Caen	2:2
18.12.16	Caen - Metz	3:0

Upcoming Matches